UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Mousasi vs Manhoef

2,154

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Mousasi

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 2

prediction
81% chance Mousasi
WILL WIN

1,897

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Gegard Mousasi
Much better submission offense 8.4 vs 5.6 Around 50% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Much better submission defense 9.3 vs 7.9 More than 15% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Much stronger takedown offense 8.6 vs 7.6 Around 15% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Puts up a fight 9.9 vs 8.7 Around 15% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
A lot taller 185 cm vs 173 cm More than 5% taller
Significantly younger 31 years vs 40 years Around 25% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Significantly harder to hit 9.9 vs 9.6 Around 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Longer reach 196 cm vs 185 cm More than 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Stronger jaw 9.8 vs 9.3 More than 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Heavier 186 lbs vs 169 lbs More than 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Better takedown defense 8.6 vs 8.4 Around 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Advantages for Melvin Manhoef
Much heavier hands 9.0 vs 7.8 More than 15% better at knocking out good defenders
Fast finishes 9.0 vs 8.8 Almost the same
Mousasi on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Manhoef’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Gegard
Mousasi
In 9:16, how much damage will he do? Mousasi Manhoef
Significant Strikes32
Mousasi's excellent striking offense is matched by Manhoef's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 83 Significant Strikes in 9:16
Excellent
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Mousasi's average takedown offense is matched by Manhoef's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 9:16
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Mousasi is unlikely to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Mousasi has a good chance of winning by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Mousasi is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Manhoef on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Mousasi’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Melvin
Manhoef
In 9:16, how much damage will he do? Manhoef Mousasi
Significant Strikes26
Manhoef's excellent striking offense is matched by Mousasi's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 83 Significant Strikes in 9:16
Excellent
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Manhoef's below average takedown offense won't be a factor against Mousasi's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 9:16
Below average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Manhoef has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Manhoef is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Manhoef is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Mousasi 9.0
fighter Manhoef 9.0
Great striking by Manhoef
4 strikes Dec 31, 2012 vs Kang
6 strikes Dec 31, 2009 vs Misaki
21 strikes Jun 15, 2008 vs Sakuraba

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Mousasi 8.6
fighter Manhoef 7.6
Great takedowns by Mousasi
4 takedowns Dec 17, 2011 vs St. Preux
1 takedown Aug 15, 2009 vs Sobral
1 takedown Sep 23, 2008 vs Manhoef

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Mousasi 7.8
fighter Manhoef 9.1
Great knockouts by Manhoef
Round 1 Dec 31, 2012 vs Kang
Round 1 Dec 31, 2009 vs Misaki
Round 1 Jun 15, 2008 vs Sakuraba

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Mousasi 8.4
fighter Manhoef 5.6
Great submissions by Mousasi
Round 1 Jan 12, 2013 vs Kyle
Round 1 Sep 23, 2008 vs Manhoef
Round 1 Apr 29, 2008 vs Kang

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Mousasi 8.8
fighter Manhoef 9.0
Fast finishes by Manhoef
50 seconds Dec 31, 2012 vs Kang
109 seconds Dec 31, 2009 vs Misaki
90 seconds Jun 15, 2008 vs Sakuraba
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
September 23, 2008Dream 6
team
VS
team
R1 SUBX
R2 KOX
2,0801,958
2,1131,925
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Mousasi
legend Manhoef
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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