UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Mousasi vs Kyle

2,154

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Mousasi

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 2

prediction
84% chance Mousasi
WILL WIN

1,870

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Gegard Mousasi
Much better submission offense 8.4 vs 6.4 More than 30% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Much harder to hit 9.9 vs 8.8 Around 15% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Much stronger jaw 9.8 vs 8.6 Around 15% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Fast finishes 8.8 vs 8.1 Around 10% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Much stronger takedown offense 8.6 vs 7.6 Around 15% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Puts up a fight 9.9 vs 8.6 Around 15% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Significantly better submission defense 9.3 vs 8.3 More than 10% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Better takedown defense 8.6 vs 8.1 More than 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Younger 32 years vs 37 years Around 15% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Better striker 9.0 vs 8.8 Almost the same
Advantages for Mike Kyle
Heavier hands 8.1 vs 7.8 Around 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Heavier 205 lbs vs 186 lbs More than 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Taller 191 cm vs 185 cm Around 5% taller
Mousasi on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Kyle’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Gegard
Mousasi
In 9:05, how much damage will he do? Mousasi Kyle
Significant Strikes48
Mousasi's excellent striking offense will dominate Kyle's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 82 Significant Strikes in 9:05
Excellent
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Mousasi's average takedown offense is matched by Kyle's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 9:05
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Mousasi is unlikely to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Mousasi has a good chance of winning by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Mousasi is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Kyle on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Mousasi’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Mike
Kyle
In 9:05, how much damage will he do? Kyle Mousasi
Significant Strikes22
Kyle's good striking offense won't be a factor against Mousasi's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 82 Significant Strikes in 9:05
Good
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Kyle's below average takedown offense won't be a factor against Mousasi's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 9:05
Below average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Kyle has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Kyle is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Kyle is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Mousasi 9.0
fighter Kyle 8.8
Great striking by Mousasi
23 strikes Jan 12, 2013 vs Kyle
12 strikes Aug 15, 2009 vs Sobral
6 strikes Apr 29, 2008 vs Kang

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Mousasi 8.6
fighter Kyle 7.7
Great takedowns by Mousasi
4 takedowns Dec 17, 2011 vs St. Preux
1 takedown Aug 15, 2009 vs Sobral
1 takedown Sep 23, 2008 vs Manhoef

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Mousasi 7.8
fighter Kyle 8.1
Great knockouts by Kyle
Round 1 May 24, 2013 vs Wiuff
Round 2 Jun 06, 2009 vs Cavalcante
Round 1 Feb 05, 2005 vs Irvin

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Mousasi 8.4
fighter Kyle 6.4
Great submissions by Mousasi
Round 1 Jan 12, 2013 vs Kyle
Round 1 Sep 23, 2008 vs Manhoef
Round 1 Apr 29, 2008 vs Kang

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Mousasi 8.8
fighter Kyle 8.1
Fast finishes by Mousasi
60 seconds Aug 15, 2009 vs Sobral
88 seconds Sep 23, 2008 vs Manhoef
190 seconds Apr 29, 2008 vs Kang
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
team
VS
team
R1 SUBX
R2 KOX
2,1341,930
2,1581,906
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Mousasi
legend Kyle
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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