UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Mousasi vs Rockhold

2,154

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Mousasi

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 2

prediction
57% chance Mousasi
WILL WIN

2,108

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Gegard Mousasi
Much harder to hit 9.9 vs 9.0 Around 10% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Much stronger takedown offense 8.6 vs 7.4 More than 15% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Much stronger jaw 9.8 vs 8.4 More than 15% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Puts up a fight 9.9 vs 8.7 Around 15% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Heavier 186 lbs vs 184 lbs Almost the same
Better submission defense 9.3 vs 8.7 More than 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Advantages for Luke Rockhold
Fast finishes 9.5 vs 8.8 More than 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Taller 191 cm vs 185 cm Around 5% taller
Better takedown defense 8.8 vs 8.6 Almost the same
Slightly better submission offense 8.6 vs 8.4 Almost the same
Mousasi on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Rockhold’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Gegard
Mousasi
In 9:33, how much damage will he do? Mousasi Rockhold
Significant Strikes45
Mousasi's excellent striking offense will dominate Rockhold's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 86 Significant Strikes in 9:33
Excellent
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Mousasi's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Rockhold's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 9:33
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Mousasi is unlikely to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Mousasi has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Mousasi is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Rockhold on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Mousasi’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Luke
Rockhold
In 9:33, how much damage will he do? Rockhold Mousasi
Significant Strikes27
Rockhold's excellent striking offense is matched by Mousasi's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 86 Significant Strikes in 9:33
Excellent
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Rockhold's poor takedown offense won't be a factor against Mousasi's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 9:33
Poor
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Rockhold is unlikely to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Rockhold has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Rockhold is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Mousasi 9.0
fighter Rockhold 9.1
Great striking by Rockhold
12 strikes Jan 15, 2014 vs Philippou
60 strikes Jul 14, 2012 vs Kennedy
97 strikes Sep 10, 2011 vs Souza

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Mousasi 8.6
fighter Rockhold 7.4
Great takedowns by Mousasi
4 takedowns Dec 17, 2011 vs St. Preux
1 takedown Aug 15, 2009 vs Sobral
1 takedown Sep 23, 2008 vs Manhoef

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Mousasi 7.8
fighter Rockhold 7.9
Great knockouts by Rockhold
Round 1 Jan 15, 2014 vs Philippou
Round 1 Jan 07, 2012 vs Jardine
Round 1 Feb 26, 2010 vs Bradley

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Mousasi 8.4
fighter Rockhold 8.6
Great submissions by Rockhold
Round 1 Nov 06, 2009 vs Taylor
Round 1 Jun 19, 2009 vs Devela
Round 1 Nov 21, 2008 vs Theotikos

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Mousasi 8.8
fighter Rockhold 9.5
Fast finishes by Rockhold
151 seconds Jan 15, 2014 vs Philippou
266 seconds Jan 07, 2012 vs Jardine
30 seconds Jun 19, 2009 vs Devela
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Mousasi
legend Rockhold
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
Showing 1 comment.
Rockhold would win
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