UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Mousasi vs Whittaker

2,154

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Mousasi

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 2

prediction
87% chance Mousasi
WILL WIN

1,824

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Gegard Mousasi
Much harder to hit 9.9 vs 8.1 More than 20% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Fast finishes 8.8 vs 7.6 More than 15% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Much stronger jaw 9.8 vs 8.5 More than 15% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Puts up a fight 9.9 vs 8.4 More than 15% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Significantly better submission offense 8.4 vs 7.3 More than 15% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Significantly longer reach 196 cm vs 187 cm Around 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Significantly stronger takedown offense 8.6 vs 8.0 Around 10% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Better submission defense 9.3 vs 8.4 Around 10% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Taller 185 cm vs 180 cm Around 5% taller
Better striker 9.0 vs 8.7 Around 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Heavier 186 lbs vs 184 lbs Almost the same
Advantages for Robert Whittaker
Longer winning streak 7 fights vs 5 fights 40% longer winning streak; has momentum coming into a fight
Younger 26 years vs 31 years More than 15% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Mousasi on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Whittaker’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Gegard
Mousasi
In 8:10, how much damage will he do? Mousasi Whittaker
Significant Strikes54
Mousasi's excellent striking offense will dominate Whittaker's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 74 Significant Strikes in 8:10
Excellent
Striking
vs
Below average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Mousasi's average takedown offense is matched by Whittaker's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 4 Takedowns in 8:10
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Mousasi is unlikely to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Mousasi has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Mousasi is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Whittaker on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Mousasi’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Robert
Whittaker
In 8:10, how much damage will he do? Whittaker Mousasi
Significant Strikes18
Whittaker's good striking offense won't be a factor against Mousasi's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 74 Significant Strikes in 8:10
Good
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Whittaker's average takedown offense is matched by Mousasi's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 4 Takedowns in 8:10
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Whittaker is unlikely to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Whittaker is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Whittaker is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Mousasi 9.0
fighter Whittaker 8.7
Great striking by Mousasi
23 strikes Jan 12, 2013 vs Kyle
12 strikes Aug 15, 2009 vs Sobral
6 strikes Apr 29, 2008 vs Kang

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Mousasi 8.6
fighter Whittaker 8.0
Great takedowns by Mousasi
4 takedowns Dec 17, 2011 vs St. Preux
1 takedown Aug 15, 2009 vs Sobral
1 takedown Sep 23, 2008 vs Manhoef

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Mousasi 7.8
fighter Whittaker 7.8
Great knockouts by Mousasi
Round 2 Nov 07, 2009 vs Thierry Sokoudjou
Round 1 Aug 15, 2009 vs Sobral
Round 1 Sep 23, 2008 vs Souza

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Mousasi 8.4
fighter Whittaker 7.3
Great submissions by Mousasi
Round 1 Jan 12, 2013 vs Kyle
Round 1 Sep 23, 2008 vs Manhoef
Round 1 Apr 29, 2008 vs Kang

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Mousasi 8.8
fighter Whittaker 7.6
Fast finishes by Mousasi
60 seconds Aug 15, 2009 vs Sobral
88 seconds Sep 23, 2008 vs Manhoef
190 seconds Apr 29, 2008 vs Kang
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Mousasi
legend Whittaker
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
Showing 1 comment.
gegard will wipe the floor with him. its a good fight for him. p.s he'd also woop bisping, and bisping knows that.
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