UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Mousasi vs Romero

2,154

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Mousasi

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 2

prediction
76% chance Mousasi
WILL WIN

1,955

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Gegard Mousasi
Much harder to hit 9.9 vs 8.7 Around 15% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Much better submission offense 8.4 vs 6.6 More than 25% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Much stronger jaw 9.8 vs 8.2 Around 20% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Puts up a fight 9.9 vs 8.5 More than 15% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Significantly longer reach 196 cm vs 185 cm More than 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Significantly better submission defense 9.3 vs 8.1 Around 15% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Significantly stronger takedown offense 8.6 vs 7.9 Around 10% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
A lot taller 185 cm vs 178 cm Around 5% taller
Significantly fast finishes 8.8 vs 8.1 Around 10% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Significantly better takedown defense 8.6 vs 8.1 More than 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Younger 32 years vs 40 years 20% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Heavier 186 lbs vs 184 lbs Almost the same
Better striker 9.0 vs 8.8 Almost the same
Advantages for Yoel Romero
Significantly heavier hands 9.0 vs 7.8 More than 15% better at knocking out good defenders
Mousasi on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Romero’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Gegard
Mousasi
In 8:34, how much damage will he do? Mousasi Romero
Significant Strikes47
Mousasi's excellent striking offense will dominate Romero's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 77 Significant Strikes in 8:34
Excellent
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Mousasi's average takedown offense is matched by Romero's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 8:34
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Mousasi has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Mousasi has a good chance of winning by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Mousasi is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Romero on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Mousasi’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Yoel
Romero
In 8:34, how much damage will he do? Romero Mousasi
Significant Strikes20
Romero's good striking offense won't be a factor against Mousasi's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 77 Significant Strikes in 8:34
Good
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Romero's average takedown offense is matched by Mousasi's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 8:34
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Romero has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Romero is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Romero is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Mousasi 9.0
fighter Romero 8.8
Great striking by Mousasi
23 strikes Jan 12, 2013 vs Kyle
12 strikes Aug 15, 2009 vs Sobral
6 strikes Apr 29, 2008 vs Kang

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Mousasi 8.6
fighter Romero 7.9
Great takedowns by Mousasi
4 takedowns Dec 17, 2011 vs St. Preux
1 takedown Aug 15, 2009 vs Sobral
1 takedown Sep 23, 2008 vs Manhoef

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Mousasi 7.8
fighter Romero 9.0
Great knockouts by Romero
Round 3 Jan 15, 2014 vs Brunson
Round 3 Nov 06, 2013 vs Markes
Round 1 Apr 20, 2013 vs Starks

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Mousasi 8.4
fighter Romero 6.6
Great submissions by Mousasi
Round 1 Jan 12, 2013 vs Kyle
Round 1 Sep 23, 2008 vs Manhoef
Round 1 Apr 29, 2008 vs Kang

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Mousasi 8.8
fighter Romero 8.1
Fast finishes by Mousasi
60 seconds Aug 15, 2009 vs Sobral
88 seconds Sep 23, 2008 vs Manhoef
190 seconds Apr 29, 2008 vs Kang
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Mousasi
legend Romero
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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