CAGERANK PREDICTION
Who will win - Weir vs Daley
Differences
What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Paul Daley
Much heavier hands | 9.5 | vs | 7.4 | Around 30% better at knocking out good defenders |
Much stronger jaw | 9.3 | vs | 7.6 | More than 20% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions |
Puts up a fight | 9.6 | vs | 8.0 | Around 20% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds |
Much better submission defense | 9.4 | vs | 8.1 | More than 15% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap |
Fast finishes | 8.7 | vs | 8.0 | Around 10% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss |
Much younger | 35 years | vs | 50 years | 30% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon |
Significantly better striker | 8.7 | vs | 8.2 | More than 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders |
Harder to hit | 8.7 | vs | 8.6 | Almost the same |
Better takedown defense | 8.4 | vs | 8.3 | Almost the same |
Advantages for Mark Weir
Much better submission offense | 7.2 | vs | 6.3 | More than 15% better at securing submissions; more ways to win |
A lot taller | 188 cm | vs | 175 cm | More than 5% taller |
Stronger takedown offense | 8.0 | vs | 7.6 | More than 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat |
Heavier | 184 lbs | vs | 170 lbs | Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control |
Daley on the attack
Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Weir’s defensive skills
Predictions For Paul Daley |
|||
---|---|---|---|
In 6:39, how much damage will he do? | Daley | Weir | |
Significant Strikes34
Daley's good striking offense may be a factor against Weir's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 60 Significant Strikes in 6:39 |
Good
Striking
|
vs |
Average
Blocking and avoiding
|
Takedowns1
Daley's below average takedown offense won't be a factor against Weir's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 4 Takedowns in 6:39 |
Below average
Takedown ability
|
vs |
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
|
If he wins, how will it go down? | |||
Knockout
Daley has a very good chance of winning by knockout |
Excellent
Knockout ability
|
vs |
Average
Jaw
|
Submission
Daley is unlikely to win by submission |
Poor
Submission ability
|
vs |
Good
Resistance
|
Decision
Daley is unlikely to win by decision |
Average
Scoring ability
|
vs |
Excellent
Scoring ability
|
Weir on the attack
Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Daley’s defensive skills
Predictions For Mark Weir |
|||
---|---|---|---|
In 6:39, how much damage will he do? | Weir | Daley | |
Significant Strikes24
Weir's average striking offense is matched by Daley's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 60 Significant Strikes in 6:39 |
Average
Striking
|
vs |
Average
Blocking and avoiding
|
Takedowns1
Weir's average takedown offense is matched by Daley's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 4 Takedowns in 6:39 |
Average
Takedown ability
|
vs |
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
|
If he wins, how will it go down? | |||
Knockout
Weir is unlikely to win by knockout |
Average
Knockout ability
|
vs |
Excellent
Jaw
|
Submission
Weir is unlikely to win by submission |
Average
Submission ability
|
vs |
Excellent
Resistance
|
Decision
Weir is unlikely to win by decision |
Poor
Scoring ability
|
vs |
Good
Scoring ability
|
OFFENSE
Who’s better on the attack?
striking
Who can land devastating blows when it matters?Great striking by Daley
17 strikes | Dec 04, 2010 | vs Smith |
8 strikes | Jan 02, 2010 | vs Hazelett |
27 strikes | Sep 19, 2009 | vs Kampmann |
knockouts
Who's better at knocking out opponents?Great knockouts by Daley
Round 1 | Jan 02, 2010 | vs Hazelett |
Round 1 | Sep 19, 2009 | vs Kampmann |
Round 2 | Dec 05, 2008 | vs Alessio |
submissions
Who can finish it on the ground?Great submissions by Weir
Round 2 | Oct 25, 2008 | vs Buzinskas |
Round 1 | Oct 21, 2004 | vs Bradford |
Round 2 | Dec 16, 2001 | vs Earwood |
Fast finishes
Who can end the fight faster? Fast finishes by Daley
144 seconds | Jan 02, 2010 | vs Hazelett |
151 seconds | Sep 19, 2009 | vs Kampmann |
438 seconds | Dec 05, 2008 | vs Alessio |
Fight History
Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
Cage Rank Over Time
See how Cage Rank changes with each fight


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Comments
Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?