UFC fight predictions and analysis
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CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Weir vs Daley

1,672

CageRank

WINNER
Daley

prediction

BY KO ROUND 2

prediction
88% chance Daley
WILL WIN

2,017

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Paul Daley
Much heavier hands 9.5 vs 7.4 Around 30% better at knocking out good defenders
Much stronger jaw 9.3 vs 7.6 More than 20% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Puts up a fight 9.6 vs 8.0 Around 20% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Much better submission defense 9.4 vs 8.1 More than 15% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Fast finishes 8.7 vs 8.0 Around 10% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Much younger 34 years vs 50 years More than 30% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Significantly better striker 8.7 vs 8.2 More than 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Harder to hit 8.7 vs 8.6 Almost the same
Better takedown defense 8.4 vs 8.3 Almost the same
Advantages for Mark Weir
Much better submission offense 7.2 vs 6.3 More than 15% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
A lot taller 188 cm vs 175 cm More than 5% taller
Stronger takedown offense 8.0 vs 7.6 More than 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Heavier 184 lbs vs 170 lbs Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Daley on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Weir’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Paul
Daley
In 6:39, how much damage will he do? Daley Weir
Significant Strikes34
Daley's good striking offense may be a factor against Weir's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 60 Significant Strikes in 6:39
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Daley's below average takedown offense won't be a factor against Weir's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 4 Takedowns in 6:39
Below average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Daley has a very good chance of winning by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Daley is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Daley is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Weir on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Daley’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Mark
Weir
In 6:39, how much damage will he do? Weir Daley
Significant Strikes24
Weir's average striking offense is matched by Daley's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 60 Significant Strikes in 6:39
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Weir's average takedown offense is matched by Daley's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 4 Takedowns in 6:39
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Weir is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Weir is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Weir is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Daley 8.7
fighter Weir 8.2
Great striking by Daley
17 strikes Dec 04, 2010 vs Smith
8 strikes Jan 02, 2010 vs Hazelett
27 strikes Sep 19, 2009 vs Kampmann

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Daley 9.5
fighter Weir 7.4
Great knockouts by Daley
Round 1 Jan 02, 2010 vs Hazelett
Round 1 Sep 19, 2009 vs Kampmann
Round 2 Dec 05, 2008 vs Alessio

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Daley 6.3
fighter Weir 7.2
Great submissions by Weir
Round 2 Oct 25, 2008 vs Buzinskas
Round 1 Oct 21, 2004 vs Bradford
Round 2 Dec 16, 2001 vs Earwood

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Daley 8.8
fighter Weir 8.0
Fast finishes by Daley
144 seconds Jan 02, 2010 vs Hazelett
151 seconds Sep 19, 2009 vs Kampmann
438 seconds Dec 05, 2008 vs Alessio
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
September 22, 2007Cage Rage 23
team
VS
team
XR2 KO
XR2 KO
1,6511,883
1,6301,903
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Daley
legend Weir
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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