UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Diaz vs Gomi

2,151

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Diaz

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 3

prediction
69% chance Diaz
WILL WIN

2,012

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Nick Diaz
Much better submission offense 8.0 vs 7.0 Around 15% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Better striker 9.7 vs 8.9 Around 10% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Much better submission defense 9.5 vs 8.3 Around 15% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Significantly longer reach 193 cm vs 178 cm Around 10% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
A lot taller 185 cm vs 173 cm More than 5% taller
Significantly fast finishes 8.7 vs 8.2 More than 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Puts up a fight 9.9 vs 9.1 Around 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Stronger takedown offense 7.6 vs 7.2 More than 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Younger 33 years vs 38 years Around 15% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Heavier 169 lbs vs 155 lbs Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Stronger jaw 9.8 vs 9.6 Almost the same
Slightly better takedown defense 8.8 vs 8.7 Almost the same
Advantages for Takanori Gomi
Harder to hit 8.5 vs 8.4 Almost the same
Diaz on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Gomi’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Nick
Diaz
In 11:33, how much damage will he do? Diaz Gomi
Significant Strikes84
Diaz's excellent striking offense will dominate Gomi's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 104 Significant Strikes in 11:33
Excellent
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Diaz's below average takedown offense won't be a factor against Gomi's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 11:33
Below average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Diaz has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Diaz has a good chance of winning by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Diaz is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Gomi on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Diaz’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Takanori
Gomi
In 11:33, how much damage will he do? Gomi Diaz
Significant Strikes69
Gomi's good striking offense may be a factor against Diaz's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 104 Significant Strikes in 11:33
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Gomi's poor takedown offense won't be a factor against Diaz's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 11:33
Poor
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Gomi has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Gomi is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Gomi has a chance to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Diaz 9.7
fighter Gomi 8.9
Great striking by Diaz
178 strikes Oct 29, 2011 vs Penn
44 strikes Apr 09, 2011 vs Daley
13 strikes Feb 05, 2005 vs Fickett

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Diaz 7.6
fighter Gomi 7.2
Great takedowns by Diaz
1 takedown May 29, 2010 vs Sakurai
1 takedown Jun 06, 2009 vs Smith
3 takedowns Aug 26, 2006 vs Neer

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Diaz 8.4
fighter Gomi 8.4
Great knockouts by Diaz
Round 1 Apr 09, 2011 vs Daley
Round 1 Jan 30, 2010 vs Zaromskis
Round 1 Feb 05, 2005 vs Fickett

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Diaz 8.0
fighter Gomi 7.0
Great submissions by Diaz
Round 1 May 29, 2010 vs Sakurai
Round 3 Jun 06, 2009 vs Smith
Round 3 Aug 26, 2006 vs Neer

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Diaz 8.7
fighter Gomi 8.2
Fast finishes by Diaz
297 seconds Apr 09, 2011 vs Daley
278 seconds Jan 30, 2010 vs Zaromskis
280 seconds Feb 05, 2005 vs Fickett
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
February 24, 2007Pride 33
team
VS
team
XX
XX
00
00
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Diaz
legend Gomi
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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