UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Alcantara vs Faber

2,088

CageRank

WINNER
Faber

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 3

prediction
60% chance Faber
WILL WIN

2,161

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Urijah Faber
Much better submission offense 9.5 vs 7.7 Around 25% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Significantly better takedown defense 8.8 vs 8.2 More than 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Significantly harder to hit 9.2 vs 8.9 Around 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Better striker 8.6 vs 8.4 Around 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Stronger takedown offense 8.4 vs 8.1 Around 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Better submission defense 9.8 vs 9.3 More than 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Puts up a fight 9.5 vs 9.3 Almost the same
Advantages for Iuri Alcantara
Much heavier hands 8.6 vs 6.8 More than 25% better at knocking out good defenders
Significantly heavier 136 lbs vs 134 lbs Almost the same
Significantly longer reach 180 cm vs 170 cm More than 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
A lot taller 175 cm vs 168 cm Around 5% taller
Fast finishes 9.0 vs 8.7 Around 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Stronger jaw 9.1 vs 8.9 Around 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Faber on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Alcantara’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Urijah
Faber
In 12:17, how much damage will he do? Faber Alcantara
Significant Strikes51
Faber's average striking offense won't be a factor against Alcantara's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 111 Significant Strikes in 12:17
Average
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Faber's average takedown offense is matched by Alcantara's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 7 Takedowns in 12:17
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Faber is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Faber has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Faber is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Alcantara on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Faber’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Iuri
Alcantara
In 12:17, how much damage will he do? Alcantara Faber
Significant Strikes36
Alcantara's average striking offense won't be a factor against Faber's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 111 Significant Strikes in 12:17
Average
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Alcantara's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Faber's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 7 Takedowns in 12:17
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Alcantara has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Alcantara is unlikely to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Alcantara is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Faber 8.6
fighter Alcantara 8.4
Great striking by Faber
29 strikes Dec 14, 2013 vs McDonald
54 strikes Aug 17, 2013 vs Alcantara
36 strikes Nov 19, 2011 vs Bowles

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Faber 8.4
fighter Alcantara 8.1
Great takedowns by Faber
1 takedown Dec 14, 2013 vs McDonald
4 takedowns Aug 17, 2013 vs Alcantara
2 takedowns Jan 10, 2010 vs Assuncao

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Faber 6.8
fighter Alcantara 8.6
Great knockouts by Alcantara
Round 1 May 18, 2013 vs Santos
Round 1 Dec 16, 2010 vs Lamas
Round 1 Jul 31, 2010 vs Gomes da Silva

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Faber 9.5
fighter Alcantara 7.7
Great submissions by Faber
Round 2 Dec 14, 2013 vs McDonald
Round 3 Jan 10, 2010 vs Assuncao
Round 2 Dec 12, 2007 vs Curran

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Faber 8.7
fighter Alcantara 9.0
Fast finishes by Alcantara
151 seconds May 18, 2013 vs Santos
206 seconds Dec 16, 2010 vs Lamas
131 seconds Jun 10, 2010 vs Paulo Rodrigues de Souza
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
August 17, 2013UFC Fight Night 26
team
VS
team
XR3 DEC
XR1 SUB
2,0722,099
2,0262,145
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Faber
legend Alcantara
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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