UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Alcantara vs Reis

2,088

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Alcantara

prediction

BY KO ROUND 3

prediction
69% chance Alcantara
WILL WIN

1,952

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Iuri Alcantara
Much heavier hands 8.6 vs 6.3 More than 35% better at knocking out good defenders
Fast finishes 9.0 vs 7.7 More than 15% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Significantly stronger jaw 9.1 vs 8.3 Around 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Significantly longer reach 180 cm vs 165 cm Around 10% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
A lot taller 175 cm vs 163 cm Around 10% taller
Harder to hit 8.9 vs 8.5 Around 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Heavier 136 lbs vs 125 lbs Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Better takedown defense 8.2 vs 8.1 Almost the same
Better striker 8.4 vs 8.3 Almost the same
Advantages for Wilson Reis
Much better submission offense 8.4 vs 7.7 Around 10% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Significantly stronger takedown offense 8.8 vs 8.1 Around 10% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Younger 32 years vs 37 years Around 15% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Alcantara on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Reis’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Iuri
Alcantara
In 10:53, how much damage will he do? Alcantara Reis
Significant Strikes47
Alcantara's average striking offense is matched by Reis's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 98 Significant Strikes in 10:53
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Alcantara's average takedown offense is matched by Reis's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 10:53
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Alcantara has a good chance of winning by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Alcantara is unlikely to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Alcantara is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Reis on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Alcantara’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Wilson
Reis
In 10:53, how much damage will he do? Reis Alcantara
Significant Strikes37
Reis's average striking offense won't be a factor against Alcantara's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 98 Significant Strikes in 10:53
Average
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Reis's good takedown offense may be a factor against Alcantara's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 10:53
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Reis is unlikely to win by knockout
Weak
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Reis has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Reis is unlikely to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Alcantara 8.4
fighter Reis 8.3
Great striking by Alcantara
19 strikes May 18, 2013 vs Santos
60 strikes Jan 14, 2012 vs Omigawa
11 strikes Dec 16, 2010 vs Lamas

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Alcantara 8.1
fighter Reis 8.8
Great takedowns by Reis
4 takedowns Sep 21, 2013 vs Menjivar

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Alcantara 8.6
fighter Reis 6.3
Great knockouts by Alcantara
Round 1 May 18, 2013 vs Santos
Round 1 Dec 16, 2010 vs Lamas
Round 1 Jul 31, 2010 vs Gomes da Silva

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Alcantara 7.7
fighter Reis 8.4
Great submissions by Reis
Round 3 Dec 08, 2012 vs Roddy
Round 1 Dec 16, 2011 vs Menezes
Round 1 Mar 19, 2011 vs George

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Alcantara 9.0
fighter Reis 7.7
Fast finishes by Alcantara
151 seconds May 18, 2013 vs Santos
206 seconds Dec 16, 2010 vs Lamas
131 seconds Jun 10, 2010 vs Paulo Rodrigues de Souza
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
February 15, 2014UFC Fight Night 36
team
VS
team
R3 DECX
XX
00
00
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Alcantara
legend Reis
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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