UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Kanehara vs Faber

1,845

CageRank

WINNER
Faber

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 2

prediction
86% chance Faber
WILL WIN

2,161

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Urijah Faber
Much better submission offense 9.5 vs 7.6 Around 25% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Much harder to hit 9.2 vs 8.6 More than 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Puts up a fight 9.5 vs 8.3 Around 15% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Significantly stronger jaw 8.9 vs 8.0 More than 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Significantly better takedown defense 8.8 vs 8.2 More than 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Better striker 8.6 vs 8.3 Around 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Better submission defense 9.8 vs 9.4 Around 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Fast finishes 8.7 vs 8.5 Almost the same
Advantages for Masanori Kanehara
Much heavier hands 8.0 vs 6.8 More than 15% better at knocking out good defenders
Younger 34 years vs 38 years More than 10% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Taller 170 cm vs 168 cm Almost the same
Faber on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Kanehara’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Urijah
Faber
In 8:28, how much damage will he do? Faber Kanehara
Significant Strikes41
Faber's average striking offense is matched by Kanehara's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 76 Significant Strikes in 8:28
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Faber's average takedown offense is matched by Kanehara's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 8:28
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Faber is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Faber has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Faber is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Kanehara on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Faber’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Masanori
Kanehara
In 8:28, how much damage will he do? Kanehara Faber
Significant Strikes24
Kanehara's average striking offense won't be a factor against Faber's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 76 Significant Strikes in 8:28
Average
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Kanehara's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Faber's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 8:28
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Kanehara is unlikely to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Kanehara is unlikely to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Kanehara is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Faber 8.6
fighter Kanehara 8.3
Great striking by Faber
29 strikes Dec 14, 2013 vs McDonald
54 strikes Aug 17, 2013 vs Alcantara
36 strikes Nov 19, 2011 vs Bowles

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Faber 8.4
fighter Kanehara 8.4
Great takedowns by Kanehara
1 takedown Dec 31, 2009 vs Yamamoto

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Faber 6.8
fighter Kanehara 8.0
Great knockouts by Kanehara
Round 1 Sep 29, 2013 vs Pearson
Round 1 Dec 22, 2012 vs McKenna
Round 1 Feb 01, 2009 vs Arai

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Faber 9.5
fighter Kanehara 7.7
Great submissions by Faber
Round 2 Dec 14, 2013 vs McDonald
Round 3 Jan 10, 2010 vs Assuncao
Round 2 Dec 12, 2007 vs Curran

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Faber 8.7
fighter Kanehara 8.5
Fast finishes by Faber
502 seconds Dec 14, 2013 vs McDonald
387 seconds Nov 19, 2011 vs Bowles
574 seconds Dec 12, 2007 vs Curran
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Faber
legend Kanehara
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
comments powered by Disqus