UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Oishi vs Diaz

1,923

CageRank

WINNER
Diaz

prediction

BY KO ROUND 3

prediction
79% chance Diaz
WILL WIN

2,151

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Nick Diaz
Much better submission offense 8.0 vs 5.6 More than 40% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Fast finishes 8.7 vs 7.0 Around 25% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Better striker 9.7 vs 8.2 Around 20% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Much heavier hands 8.4 vs 7.7 Around 10% better at knocking out good defenders
A lot taller 185 cm vs 173 cm More than 5% taller
Significantly stronger jaw 9.8 vs 9.1 Around 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Younger 33 years vs 39 years More than 15% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Heavier 169 lbs vs 144 lbs More than 15% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Better takedown defense 8.8 vs 8.4 Around 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Puts up a fight 9.9 vs 9.5 Around 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Better submission defense 9.5 vs 9.3 Almost the same
Advantages for Koji Oishi
Much stronger takedown offense 8.5 vs 7.6 More than 10% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Diaz on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Oishi’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Nick
Diaz
In 12:30, how much damage will he do? Diaz Oishi
Significant Strikes92
Diaz's excellent striking offense will dominate Oishi's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 112 Significant Strikes in 12:30
Excellent
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Diaz's below average takedown offense won't be a factor against Oishi's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 7 Takedowns in 12:30
Below average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Diaz has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Diaz has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Diaz is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Oishi on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Diaz’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Koji
Oishi
In 12:30, how much damage will he do? Oishi Diaz
Significant Strikes54
Oishi's average striking offense is matched by Diaz's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 112 Significant Strikes in 12:30
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Oishi's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Diaz's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 7 Takedowns in 12:30
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Oishi is unlikely to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Oishi is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Oishi has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Diaz 9.7
fighter Oishi 8.2
Great striking by Diaz
178 strikes Oct 29, 2011 vs Penn
44 strikes Apr 09, 2011 vs Daley
13 strikes Feb 05, 2005 vs Fickett

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Diaz 8.4
fighter Oishi 7.7
Great knockouts by Diaz
Round 1 Apr 09, 2011 vs Daley
Round 1 Jan 30, 2010 vs Zaromskis
Round 1 Feb 05, 2005 vs Fickett

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Diaz 8.0
fighter Oishi 5.6
Great submissions by Diaz
Round 1 May 29, 2010 vs Sakurai
Round 3 Jun 06, 2009 vs Smith
Round 3 Aug 26, 2006 vs Neer

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Diaz 8.7
fighter Oishi 7.0
Fast finishes by Diaz
297 seconds Apr 09, 2011 vs Daley
278 seconds Jan 30, 2010 vs Zaromskis
280 seconds Feb 05, 2005 vs Fickett
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
June 4, 2005UFC 53
team
VS
team
XR1 KO
XR1 KO
1,7271,860
1,6961,892
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Diaz
legend Oishi
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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