UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Papazian vs Elliott

1,724

CageRank

WINNER
Elliott

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
57% chance Elliott
WILL WIN

1,773

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Timothy Elliott
Much better submission offense 7.3 vs 5.9 Around 25% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Fast finishes 7.7 vs 6.7 Around 15% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Much stronger takedown offense 8.8 vs 7.9 More than 10% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Significantly better takedown defense 8.4 vs 7.7 More than 10% better at avoiding being taken down
Better striker 8.6 vs 8.3 Around 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Advantages for Jared Papazian
Longer reach 170 cm vs 166 cm Almost the same
Better submission defense 8.2 vs 8.0 Around 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Slightly taller 173 cm vs 170 cm Almost the same
Slightly heavier 134 lbs vs 125 lbs More than 5% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Elliott on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Papazian’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Timothy
Elliott
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Elliott Papazian
Significant Strikes75
Elliott's good striking offense may be a factor against Papazian's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns5
Elliott's good takedown offense may be a factor against Papazian's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Below average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Elliott is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Elliott is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Elliott is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Papazian on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Elliott’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Jared
Papazian
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Papazian Elliott
Significant Strikes66
Papazian's average striking offense is matched by Elliott's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Papazian's average takedown offense is matched by Elliott's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Papazian is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Papazian is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Papazian has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Elliott 8.6
fighter Papazian 8.3
Great striking by Elliott
116 strikes Aug 31, 2013 vs Gaudinot
36 strikes Dec 15, 2012 vs Papazian

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Elliott 8.8
fighter Papazian 7.9
Great takedowns by Elliott
6 takedowns Aug 31, 2013 vs Gaudinot
7 takedowns Dec 15, 2012 vs Papazian

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Elliott 7.2
fighter Papazian 7.3
Great knockouts by Papazian
Round 1 Sep 07, 2013 vs Martin
Round 2 Jun 04, 2010 vs Bastianelli
Round 3 Mar 26, 2010 vs Smith

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Elliott 7.3
fighter Papazian 5.9
Great submissions by Elliott
Round 1 Mar 30, 2012 vs Rave
Round 3 Jun 25, 2010 vs Fuller
Round 1 Apr 02, 2010 vs Casteel

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Elliott 7.7
fighter Papazian 6.7
Fast finishes by Elliott
28 seconds Mar 30, 2012 vs Rave
432 seconds Dec 16, 2011 vs Pulver
754 seconds Jun 25, 2010 vs Fuller
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
December 15, 2012TUF 16 Finale
team
VS
team
XR3 DEC
DECX
1,7401,734
1,6891,785
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Elliott
legend Papazian
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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