UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Ribeiro vs Sugiura

1,614

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Ribeiro

prediction

BY KO ROUND 2

prediction
75% chance Ribeiro
WILL WIN

1,420

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Alexandre Ribeiro
Much heavier hands 8.2 vs 7.1 More than 15% better at knocking out good defenders
Significantly younger 37 years vs 48 years Around 25% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Significantly better submission offense 7.3 vs 6.7 Around 10% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Significantly fast finishes 7.4 vs 7.0 More than 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Stronger jaw 7.4 vs 6.9 More than 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Slightly taller 183 cm vs 180 cm Almost the same
Advantages for Takashi Sugiura
Better submission defense 7.7 vs 7.2 More than 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Heavier 225 lbs vs 205 lbs Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Ribeiro on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Sugiura’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Alexandre
Ribeiro
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Ribeiro has a very good chance of winning by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Ribeiro has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Average
Resistance
Decision
Ribeiro has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Sugiura on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Ribeiro’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Takashi
Sugiura
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Sugiura has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Sugiura is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Average
Resistance
Decision
Sugiura is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Ribeiro 8.2
fighter Sugiura 7.1
Great knockouts by Ribeiro
Round 3 May 02, 2009 vs Yamamiya
Round 3 Sep 28, 2008 vs Sugiura

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Ribeiro 7.4
fighter Sugiura 7.0
Fast finishes by Ribeiro
651 seconds May 02, 2009 vs Yamamiya
858 seconds Sep 28, 2008 vs Sugiura
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
September 28, 2008Sengoku - Fifth Battle
team
VS
team
R3 KOX
R2 KOX
1,5001,464
1,5451,420
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Ribeiro
legend Sugiura
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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