UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Matsui vs Belfort

1,442

CageRank

WINNER
Belfort

prediction

BY KO ROUND 1

prediction
99% chance Belfort
WILL WIN

2,220

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Vitor Belfort
Fast finishes 10.0 vs 6.3 Around 60% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Much heavier hands 10.0 vs 5.7 More than 75% better at knocking out good defenders
Better striker 9.2 vs 7.3 More than 25% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Much harder to hit 9.8 vs 8.8 More than 10% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Puts up a fight 9.6 vs 7.9 More than 20% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Much stronger jaw 9.4 vs 8.1 More than 15% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Significantly better submission offense 6.9 vs 5.8 Around 20% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
A lot taller 183 cm vs 175 cm Around 5% taller
Better takedown defense 9.2 vs 8.8 Around 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Younger 40 years vs 44 years Around 10% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Advantages for Daijiro Matsui
Significantly stronger takedown offense 8.2 vs 7.5 Around 10% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Belfort on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Matsui’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Vitor
Belfort
In 2:13, how much damage will he do? Belfort Matsui
Significant Strikes13
Belfort's excellent striking offense will dominate Matsui's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 20 Significant Strikes in 2:13
Excellent
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns0
Belfort's below average takedown offense won't be a factor against Matsui's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 1 Takedowns in 2:13
Below average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Belfort has a good chance of winning by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Belfort is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Belfort is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Matsui on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Belfort’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Daijiro
Matsui
In 2:13, how much damage will he do? Matsui Belfort
Significant Strikes2
Matsui's poor striking offense won't be a factor against Belfort's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 20 Significant Strikes in 2:13
Poor
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns0
Matsui's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Belfort's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 1 Takedowns in 2:13
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Matsui is unlikely to win by knockout
Weak
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Matsui is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Matsui is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Belfort 9.2
fighter Matsui 7.3
Great striking by Belfort
12 strikes Nov 09, 2013 vs Henderson
18 strikes Jan 19, 2013 vs Bisping
6 strikes Jan 24, 2009 vs Lindland

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Belfort 7.6
fighter Matsui 8.2
Great takedowns by Matsui
4 takedowns Dec 23, 2002 vs Okubo
3 takedowns May 27, 2001 vs Landi-Jons
4 takedowns Sep 12, 1999 vs Schrijber

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Belfort 10.0
fighter Matsui 5.7
Great knockouts by Belfort
Round 1 Nov 09, 2013 vs Henderson
Round 2 Jan 19, 2013 vs Bisping
Round 1 Sep 19, 2009 vs Franklin

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Belfort 6.9
fighter Matsui 5.8
Great submissions by Belfort
Round 1 Jan 14, 2012 vs Johnson
Round 1 Mar 25, 2001 vs Southworth
Round 1 Dec 21, 1997 vs Charles

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Belfort 10.0
fighter Matsui 6.3
Fast finishes by Belfort
77 seconds Nov 09, 2013 vs Henderson
387 seconds Jan 19, 2013 vs Bisping
182 seconds Sep 19, 2009 vs Franklin
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
August 27, 2000Pride 10
team
VS
team
XR2 DEC
XDEC
1,4871,746
1,4691,764
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Belfort
legend Matsui
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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