UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Matsui vs Kanehara

1,442

CageRank

WINNER
Kanehara

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
56% chance Kanehara
WILL WIN

1,481

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Hiromitsu Kanehara
Better striker 8.1 vs 7.3 More than 10% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Significantly heavier hands 6.6 vs 5.7 More than 15% better at knocking out good defenders
Fast finishes 6.9 vs 6.3 Around 10% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Stronger jaw 8.7 vs 8.1 More than 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Puts up a fight 8.5 vs 7.9 More than 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Better submission offense 6.2 vs 5.8 More than 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Taller 178 cm vs 175 cm Almost the same
Advantages for Daijiro Matsui
Much harder to hit 8.8 vs 8.1 Around 10% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Much better takedown defense 8.8 vs 7.9 More than 10% better at avoiding being taken down
Stronger takedown offense 8.2 vs 7.9 Around 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Slightly younger 45 years vs 47 years Around 5% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Kanehara on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Matsui’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Hiromitsu
Kanehara
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Kanehara Matsui
Significant Strikes49
Kanehara's average striking offense is matched by Matsui's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Kanehara's below average takedown offense won't be a factor against Matsui's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Below average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Kanehara is unlikely to win by knockout
Weak
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Kanehara is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Kanehara is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Matsui on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Kanehara’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Daijiro
Matsui
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Matsui Kanehara
Significant Strikes44
Matsui's poor striking offense won't be a factor against Kanehara's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Poor
Striking
vs
Below average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns4
Matsui's average takedown offense is matched by Kanehara's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Matsui is unlikely to win by knockout
Weak
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Matsui is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Matsui has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Below average
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Kanehara 7.9
fighter Matsui 8.2
Great takedowns by Matsui
4 takedowns Dec 23, 2002 vs Okubo
3 takedowns May 27, 2001 vs Landi-Jons
4 takedowns Sep 12, 1999 vs Schrijber

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Kanehara 6.6
fighter Matsui 5.7
Great knockouts by Kanehara
Round 3 Feb 24, 2001 vs Menne
Round 1 Dec 22, 2000 vs Sauer
Round 1 Feb 06, 2000 vs Overeem

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Kanehara 6.2
fighter Matsui 5.8
Great submissions by Kanehara
Round 2 Dec 22, 2000 vs Ferreira
Round 1 Jul 22, 2000 vs Serrano
Round 1 Dec 23, 1998 vs Nijman

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Kanehara 6.9
fighter Matsui 6.3
Fast finishes by Kanehara
804 seconds Feb 24, 2001 vs Menne
465 seconds Dec 22, 2000 vs Ferreira
127 seconds Jul 22, 2000 vs Serrano
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
February 18, 2012Deep - 57 Impact
team
VS
team
XX
XDEC
1,5071,566
1,5151,557
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Kanehara
legend Matsui
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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