UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Salas vs Means

1,849

CageRank

WINNER
Means

prediction

BY KO ROUND 2

prediction
65% chance Means
WILL WIN

1,953

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Tim Means
Much heavier hands 8.8 vs 7.5 Around 20% better at knocking out good defenders
Much stronger jaw 9.2 vs 7.7 Around 20% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Fast finishes 8.6 vs 7.9 Around 10% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Puts up a fight 9.1 vs 8.0 Around 15% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
A lot taller 188 cm vs 173 cm Around 10% taller
Significantly better striker 8.8 vs 8.4 More than 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Harder to hit 8.6 vs 8.3 Around 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Better submission defense 8.6 vs 8.2 More than 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Heavier 169 lbs vs 155 lbs Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Slightly younger 34 years vs 36 years More than 5% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Advantages for Justin Salas
Significantly better submission offense 7.1 vs 6.4 Around 10% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Significantly stronger takedown offense 8.5 vs 7.9 Around 10% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Better takedown defense 8.4 vs 8.2 Around 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Means on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Salas’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Tim
Means
In 6:57, how much damage will he do? Means Salas
Significant Strikes41
Means's good striking offense may be a factor against Salas's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 63 Significant Strikes in 6:57
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Means's below average takedown offense won't be a factor against Salas's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 4 Takedowns in 6:57
Below average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Means has a very good chance of winning by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Means is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Means is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Salas on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Means’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Justin
Salas
In 6:57, how much damage will he do? Salas Means
Significant Strikes29
Salas's average striking offense is matched by Means's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 63 Significant Strikes in 6:57
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Salas's average takedown offense is matched by Means's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 4 Takedowns in 6:57
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Salas is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Salas is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Salas is unlikely to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Means 8.8
fighter Salas 8.4
Great striking by Means
26 strikes Jun 08, 2012 vs Salas
83 strikes Feb 15, 2012 vs Magalhaes

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Means 7.9
fighter Salas 8.5
Great takedowns by Salas
3 takedowns Jul 27, 2013 vs Riley
4 takedowns Feb 15, 2012 vs Kuivanen

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Means 8.8
fighter Salas 7.5
Great knockouts by Means
Round 1 Sep 13, 2013 vs Spratt
Round 1 Jun 08, 2012 vs Salas
Round 2 Oct 07, 2010 vs Green

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Means 6.4
fighter Salas 7.1
Great submissions by Salas
Round 1 Oct 24, 2009 vs Arocho
Round 1 Jul 19, 2008 vs Fagyas
Round 1 Jun 13, 2008 vs Smith

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Means 8.6
fighter Salas 7.9
Fast finishes by Means
144 seconds Sep 13, 2013 vs Spratt
66 seconds Jun 08, 2012 vs Salas
600 seconds Oct 07, 2010 vs Green
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
June 8, 2012UFC on FX 3
team
VS
team
XR1 KO
XR1 KO
1,9371,979
1,8932,023
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Means
legend Salas
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
comments powered by Disqus