UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Toney vs Ferguson

1,861

CageRank

WINNER
Ferguson

prediction

BY KO ROUND 2

prediction
67% chance Ferguson
WILL WIN

1,986

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Tony Ferguson
Much heavier hands 8.8 vs 7.4 Around 20% better at knocking out good defenders
Fast finishes 8.8 vs 7.8 Around 15% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Stronger jaw 8.9 vs 8.4 More than 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Advantages for Jamie Toney
Significantly better submission defense 9.1 vs 8.4 Around 10% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Better submission offense 7.5 vs 7.2 Around 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Heavier 167 lbs vs 155 lbs Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Ferguson on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Toney’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Tony
Ferguson
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Ferguson has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Ferguson is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Ferguson is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Toney on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Ferguson’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Jamie
Toney
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Toney is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Toney is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Toney is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Ferguson 8.8
fighter Toney 7.4
Great knockouts by Ferguson
Round 1 Sep 24, 2011 vs Riley
Round 1 Jun 04, 2011 vs Nijem
Round 4 Sep 25, 2010 vs Jardine

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Ferguson 7.2
fighter Toney 7.5
Great submissions by Toney
Round 1 Oct 16, 2009 vs Ferguson
Round 2 Jul 03, 2007 vs Bender
Round 1 May 20, 2006 vs Craparo

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Ferguson 8.8
fighter Toney 7.8
Fast finishes by Ferguson
112 seconds Oct 19, 2013 vs Rio
300 seconds Sep 24, 2011 vs Riley
1055 seconds Sep 25, 2010 vs Jardine
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
team
VS
team
R1 SUBX
XDEC
1,6991,738
1,7551,683
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Ferguson
legend Toney
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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