UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Valencia vs Faber

1,782

CageRank

WINNER
Faber

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 2

prediction
90% chance Faber
WILL WIN

2,161

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Urijah Faber
Much better submission offense 9.5 vs 7.3 Around 30% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Much harder to hit 9.2 vs 8.5 Around 10% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Fast finishes 8.7 vs 7.4 More than 15% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Much better submission defense 9.8 vs 8.1 More than 20% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Puts up a fight 9.5 vs 8.0 Around 20% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Significantly stronger jaw 8.9 vs 7.9 More than 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
A lot taller 168 cm vs 160 cm Around 5% taller
Significantly stronger takedown offense 8.4 vs 7.7 Around 10% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Longer reach 170 cm vs 164 cm Around 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Younger 38 years vs 43 years More than 10% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Better striker 8.6 vs 8.4 Almost the same
Heavier hands 6.8 vs 6.7 Around 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Advantages for Charlie Valencia
Better takedown defense 9.2 vs 8.8 Around 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Faber on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Valencia’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Urijah
Faber
In 6:55, how much damage will he do? Faber Valencia
Significant Strikes35
Faber's average striking offense is matched by Valencia's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 62 Significant Strikes in 6:55
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Faber's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Valencia's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 4 Takedowns in 6:55
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Faber is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Faber has a good chance of winning by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Faber is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Valencia on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Faber’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Charlie
Valencia
In 6:55, how much damage will he do? Valencia Faber
Significant Strikes21
Valencia's average striking offense won't be a factor against Faber's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 62 Significant Strikes in 6:55
Average
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Valencia's below average takedown offense won't be a factor against Faber's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 4 Takedowns in 6:55
Below average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Valencia is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Valencia is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Valencia is unlikely to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Faber 8.6
fighter Valencia 8.4
Great striking by Faber
29 strikes Dec 14, 2013 vs McDonald
54 strikes Aug 17, 2013 vs Alcantara
36 strikes Nov 19, 2011 vs Bowles

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Faber 8.4
fighter Valencia 7.8
Great takedowns by Faber
1 takedown Dec 14, 2013 vs McDonald
4 takedowns Aug 17, 2013 vs Alcantara
2 takedowns Jan 10, 2010 vs Assuncao

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Faber 6.8
fighter Valencia 6.7
Great knockouts by Faber
Round 2 Sep 09, 2006 vs Wilson
Round 2 Mar 17, 2006 vs Escovedo
Round 1 Aug 19, 2004 vs Hawkins

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Faber 9.5
fighter Valencia 7.3
Great submissions by Faber
Round 2 Dec 14, 2013 vs McDonald
Round 3 Jan 10, 2010 vs Assuncao
Round 2 Dec 12, 2007 vs Curran

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Faber 8.7
fighter Valencia 7.4
Fast finishes by Faber
502 seconds Dec 14, 2013 vs McDonald
387 seconds Nov 19, 2011 vs Bowles
574 seconds Dec 12, 2007 vs Curran
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
May 13, 2006KOTC - Predator
team
VS
team
XR1 SUB
XR2 SUB
1,7921,906
1,7581,941
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Faber
legend Valencia
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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