UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Vovchanchyn vs Sakuraba

1,838

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Vovchanchyn

prediction

BY KO ROUND 3

prediction
72% chance Vovchanchyn
WILL WIN

1,676

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Igor Vovchanchyn
Much heavier hands 7.9 vs 6.2 Around 30% better at knocking out good defenders
Much harder to hit 9.6 vs 8.4 Around 15% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Much stronger jaw 9.5 vs 8.2 More than 15% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Better striker 8.2 vs 7.4 More than 10% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Significantly heavier 205 lbs vs 166 lbs Around 25% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Fast finishes 7.9 vs 7.6 More than 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Younger 43 years vs 47 years Around 10% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Puts up a fight 8.7 vs 8.4 Around 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Advantages for Kazushi Sakuraba
Significantly better submission offense 8.1 vs 7.5 Around 10% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Significantly better takedown defense 9.1 vs 8.5 More than 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Taller 183 cm vs 173 cm More than 5% taller
Better submission defense 8.9 vs 8.6 Around 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Vovchanchyn on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Sakuraba’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Igor
Vovchanchyn
In 11:36, how much damage will he do? Vovchanchyn Sakuraba
Significant Strikes49
Vovchanchyn's average striking offense is matched by Sakuraba's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 104 Significant Strikes in 11:36
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Vovchanchyn's below average takedown offense won't be a factor against Sakuraba's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 11:36
Below average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Vovchanchyn has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Vovchanchyn is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Vovchanchyn is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Sakuraba on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Vovchanchyn’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Kazushi
Sakuraba
In 11:36, how much damage will he do? Sakuraba Vovchanchyn
Significant Strikes11
Sakuraba's poor striking offense won't be a factor against Vovchanchyn's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 104 Significant Strikes in 11:36
Poor
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Sakuraba's below average takedown offense won't be a factor against Vovchanchyn's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 11:36
Below average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Sakuraba is unlikely to win by knockout
Weak
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Sakuraba has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Sakuraba is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Vovchanchyn 8.2
fighter Sakuraba 7.4
Great striking by Vovchanchyn
58 strikes Apr 23, 2005 vs Kondo
5 strikes May 27, 2001 vs Yvel
17 strikes May 01, 2000 vs Sakuraba

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Vovchanchyn 7.7
fighter Sakuraba 7.8
Great takedowns by Sakuraba
2 takedowns Jul 29, 2001 vs Jackson
5 takedowns Aug 27, 2000 vs Gracie
2 takedowns Jan 30, 2000 vs Mezger

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Vovchanchyn 7.9
fighter Sakuraba 6.2
Great knockouts by Vovchanchyn
Round 1 Feb 20, 2005 vs Takahashi
Round 1 May 01, 2000 vs Sakuraba
Round 1 Feb 03, 1998 vs Nutter

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Vovchanchyn 7.5
fighter Sakuraba 8.1
Great submissions by Sakuraba
Round 1 Aug 05, 2006 vs Smirnovas
Round 1 Dec 31, 2005 vs Minowa
Round 3 Nov 09, 2003 vs Randleman

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Vovchanchyn 7.9
fighter Sakuraba 7.6
Fast finishes by Vovchanchyn
70 seconds Feb 20, 2005 vs Takahashi
112 seconds May 27, 2001 vs Yvel
900 seconds May 01, 2000 vs Sakuraba
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
team
VS
team
R1 KOX
R1 KOX
2,0731,917
2,1021,888
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Vovchanchyn
legend Sakuraba
Read More
Vovchanchyn vs Emelianenko
Fantasy Cage Match
Sakuraba vs Emelianenko
Fantasy Cage Match
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
comments powered by Disqus