UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Barao vs Faber

2,194

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Barao

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
55% chance Barao
WILL WIN

2,161

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Renan Barao
Significantly heavier hands 7.7 vs 6.8 More than 10% better at knocking out good defenders
Significantly longer reach 179 cm vs 170 cm More than 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Significantly younger 30 years vs 38 years More than 20% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Better takedown defense 9.3 vs 8.8 Around 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Better striker 8.8 vs 8.6 Around 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Taller 170 cm vs 168 cm Almost the same
Advantages for Urijah Faber
Significantly better submission offense 9.5 vs 8.5 More than 10% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Harder to hit 9.2 vs 8.9 Around 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Stronger takedown offense 8.4 vs 8.0 More than 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Better submission defense 9.8 vs 9.5 Around 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Barao on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Faber’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Renan
Barao
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Barao Faber
Significant Strikes60
Barao's good striking offense won't be a factor against Faber's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Good
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Barao's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Faber's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Barao is unlikely to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Barao has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Barao is unlikely to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Faber on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Barao’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Urijah
Faber
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Faber Barao
Significant Strikes61
Faber's average striking offense won't be a factor against Barao's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Faber's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Barao's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Faber is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Faber has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Faber is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Barao 8.9
fighter Faber 8.6
Great striking by Barao
36 strikes Feb 16, 2013 vs McDonald
85 strikes Jul 21, 2012 vs Faber
104 strikes Feb 04, 2012 vs Jorgensen

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Barao 8.0
fighter Faber 8.4
Great takedowns by Faber
1 takedown Dec 14, 2013 vs McDonald
4 takedowns Aug 17, 2013 vs Alcantara
2 takedowns Jan 10, 2010 vs Assuncao

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Barao 7.7
fighter Faber 6.8
Great knockouts by Barao
Round 2 Sep 21, 2013 vs Wineland
Round 2 Aug 13, 2009 vs Sardinha
Round 3 Nov 29, 2008 vs Pinheiro

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Barao 8.5
fighter Faber 9.5
Great submissions by Faber
Round 2 Dec 14, 2013 vs McDonald
Round 3 Jan 10, 2010 vs Assuncao
Round 2 Dec 12, 2007 vs Curran

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Barao 8.6
fighter Faber 8.7
Fast finishes by Faber
502 seconds Dec 14, 2013 vs McDonald
387 seconds Nov 19, 2011 vs Bowles
574 seconds Dec 12, 2007 vs Curran
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
February 1, 2014UFC 169
team
VS
team
R1 KOX
XX
00
00
July 21, 2012UFC 149
team
VS
team
R5 DECX
DECX
2,1512,078
2,1912,039
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Barao
legend Faber
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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