UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Shalorus vs Nurmagomedov

1,888

CageRank

WINNER
Nurmagomedov

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 3

prediction
85% chance Nurmagomedov
WILL WIN

2,192

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Khabib Nurmagomedov
Much stronger takedown offense 9.0 vs 8.1 More than 10% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Significantly better submission offense 7.8 vs 6.7 More than 15% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Significantly younger 28 years vs 39 years Around 30% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Significantly fast finishes 8.4 vs 7.6 More than 10% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Significantly harder to hit 8.9 vs 8.5 More than 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Significantly better submission defense 9.0 vs 8.1 More than 10% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Taller 178 cm vs 173 cm Around 5% taller
Better striker 8.6 vs 8.4 Around 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Stronger jaw 8.8 vs 8.3 More than 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Longer reach 178 cm vs 173 cm Around 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Puts up a fight 9.1 vs 8.6 More than 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Better takedown defense 9.0 vs 8.7 Around 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Advantages for Kamal Shalorus
From what we can tell, Khabib Nurmagomedov dominates Kamal Shalorus in every way.
Nurmagomedov on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Shalorus’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Khabib
Nurmagomedov
In 10:35, how much damage will he do? Nurmagomedov Shalorus
Significant Strikes55
Nurmagomedov's good striking offense may be a factor against Shalorus's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 95 Significant Strikes in 10:35
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Nurmagomedov's good takedown offense is matched by Shalorus's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 10:35
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Nurmagomedov has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Nurmagomedov has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Nurmagomedov has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Shalorus on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Nurmagomedov’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Kamal
Shalorus
In 10:35, how much damage will he do? Shalorus Nurmagomedov
Significant Strikes37
Shalorus's average striking offense won't be a factor against Nurmagomedov's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 95 Significant Strikes in 10:35
Average
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Shalorus's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Nurmagomedov's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 10:35
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Shalorus is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Shalorus is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Shalorus has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Nurmagomedov 8.6
fighter Shalorus 8.4
Great striking by Nurmagomedov
54 strikes Sep 21, 2013 vs Healy
22 strikes Jan 19, 2013 vs Tavares
25 strikes Jul 07, 2012 vs Tibau

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Nurmagomedov 9.0
fighter Shalorus 8.2
Great takedowns by Nurmagomedov
5 takedowns Sep 21, 2013 vs Healy
21 takedowns May 25, 2013 vs Trujillo
3 takedowns Jan 20, 2012 vs Shalorus

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Nurmagomedov 7.7
fighter Shalorus 7.6
Great knockouts by Nurmagomedov
Round 1 Jan 19, 2013 vs Tavares
Round 1 Oct 22, 2011 vs Santos
Round 2 Feb 12, 2011 vs Agafonov

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Nurmagomedov 7.8
fighter Shalorus 6.7
Great submissions by Nurmagomedov
Round 3 Jan 20, 2012 vs Shalorus
Round 1 Aug 05, 2011 vs Mamedov
Round 1 Nov 03, 2009 vs Shamkhalaev

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Nurmagomedov 8.4
fighter Shalorus 7.6
Fast finishes by Nurmagomedov
115 seconds Jan 19, 2013 vs Tavares
728 seconds Jan 20, 2012 vs Shalorus
213 seconds Oct 22, 2011 vs Santos
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
team
VS
team
XR3 SUB
XR1 KO
1,9001,910
1,8511,959
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Nurmagomedov
legend Shalorus
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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