UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Lentz vs Griffin

2,069

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Lentz

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
80% chance Lentz
WILL WIN

1,834

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Nik Lentz
Much stronger takedown offense 9.3 vs 8.1 Around 15% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Significantly stronger jaw 8.7 vs 7.8 More than 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Taller 173 cm vs 168 cm Around 5% taller
Better submission offense 7.4 vs 7.0 More than 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Puts up a fight 9.2 vs 8.8 Around 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Longer reach 175 cm vs 173 cm Almost the same
Harder to hit 8.7 vs 8.6 Almost the same
Better striker 8.8 vs 8.7 Almost the same
Advantages for Tyson Griffin
Better takedown defense 8.5 vs 8.2 Around 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Heavier hands 7.4 vs 7.1 Around 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Slightly fast finishes 7.6 vs 7.5 Almost the same
Lentz on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Griffin’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Nik
Lentz
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Lentz Griffin
Significant Strikes77
Lentz's good striking offense may be a factor against Griffin's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns4
Lentz's excellent takedown offense will dominate Griffin's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Excellent
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Lentz has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Lentz is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Lentz has a very good chance of winning by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Griffin on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Lentz’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Tyson
Griffin
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Griffin Lentz
Significant Strikes69
Griffin's good striking offense may be a factor against Lentz's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Griffin's average takedown offense is matched by Lentz's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Griffin is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Griffin is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Griffin is unlikely to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Lentz 8.8
fighter Griffin 8.7
Great striking by Lentz
42 strikes May 18, 2013 vs Dias
56 strikes Jan 19, 2013 vs Nunes
33 strikes Aug 11, 2012 vs Mitsuoka

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Lentz 9.3
fighter Griffin 8.1
Great takedowns by Lentz
4 takedowns May 18, 2013 vs Dias
10 takedowns Jan 19, 2013 vs Nunes
4 takedowns Aug 11, 2012 vs Mitsuoka

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Lentz 7.2
fighter Griffin 7.4
Great knockouts by Griffin
Round 2 Sep 19, 2009 vs Franca
Round 1 Jun 09, 2006 vs Ludwig
Round 3 Sep 10, 2005 vs Faber

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Lentz 7.4
fighter Griffin 7.0
Great submissions by Lentz
Round 3 Mar 26, 2011 vs Lowe
Round 2 May 02, 2008 vs Perzynski
Round 1 Aug 02, 2007 vs Walbridge

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Lentz 7.5
fighter Griffin 7.6
Fast finishes by Griffin
506 seconds Sep 19, 2009 vs Franca
237 seconds Jun 09, 2006 vs Ludwig
605 seconds Sep 10, 2005 vs Faber
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
November 20, 2010UFC 123
team
VS
team
R3 DECX
DECX
1,9841,930
2,0271,888
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Lentz
legend Griffin
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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