UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Lentz vs Brooks

2,069

CageRank

WINNER
Brooks

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
54% chance Brooks
WILL WIN

2,096

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Will Brooks
A lot taller 180 cm vs 173 cm Around 5% taller
Heavier hands 7.8 vs 7.1 Around 10% better at knocking out good defenders
Fast finishes 7.6 vs 7.5 Almost the same
Younger 31 years vs 33 years More than 5% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Advantages for Nik Lentz
Significantly stronger takedown offense 9.3 vs 8.7 More than 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Better striker 8.8 vs 8.6 Around 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Stronger jaw 8.7 vs 8.3 More than 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Better submission defense 9.4 vs 9.0 Around 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Brooks on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Lentz’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Will
Brooks
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Brooks Lentz
Significant Strikes65
Brooks's average striking offense is matched by Lentz's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns4
Brooks's average takedown offense is matched by Lentz's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Brooks is unlikely to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Brooks is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Brooks has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Lentz on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Brooks’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Nik
Lentz
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Lentz Brooks
Significant Strikes73
Lentz's good striking offense may be a factor against Brooks's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns5
Lentz's excellent takedown offense will dominate Brooks's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Excellent
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Lentz is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Lentz is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Lentz has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Brooks 8.6
fighter Lentz 8.8
Great striking by Lentz
42 strikes May 18, 2013 vs Dias
56 strikes Jan 19, 2013 vs Nunes
33 strikes Aug 11, 2012 vs Mitsuoka

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Brooks 8.7
fighter Lentz 9.3
Great takedowns by Lentz
4 takedowns May 18, 2013 vs Dias
10 takedowns Jan 19, 2013 vs Nunes
4 takedowns Aug 11, 2012 vs Mitsuoka

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Brooks 7.8
fighter Lentz 7.2
Great knockouts by Brooks
Round 3 Jul 31, 2013 vs Leyva
Round 2 Dec 31, 2012 vs Kitaoka
Round 1 Jun 16, 2012 vs Bogguess

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Brooks 7.4
fighter Lentz 7.4
Great submissions by Lentz
Round 3 Mar 26, 2011 vs Lowe
Round 2 May 02, 2008 vs Perzynski
Round 1 Aug 02, 2007 vs Walbridge

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Brooks 7.6
fighter Lentz 7.5
Fast finishes by Brooks
526 seconds Dec 31, 2012 vs Kitaoka
260 seconds Jun 16, 2012 vs Bogguess
229 seconds Sep 03, 2011 vs Richardson
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Brooks
legend Lentz
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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