UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Linhares vs Palhares

1,877

CageRank

WINNER
Palhares

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 2

prediction
78% chance Palhares
WILL WIN

2,100

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Rousimar Palhares
Much better submission offense 9.7 vs 7.8 Around 25% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Fast finishes 9.6 vs 8.4 Around 15% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Significantly better takedown defense 9.0 vs 8.4 Around 10% better at avoiding being taken down
Significantly harder to hit 8.9 vs 8.5 More than 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Younger 36 years vs 43 years More than 15% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Puts up a fight 9.0 vs 8.5 More than 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Stronger jaw 8.3 vs 7.9 More than 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Better submission defense 9.3 vs 8.9 Around 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Advantages for Lucio Linhares
Much heavier hands 7.8 vs 6.3 Around 25% better at knocking out good defenders
Better striker 8.2 vs 7.5 Around 10% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
A lot taller 188 cm vs 173 cm Around 10% taller
Longer reach 189 cm vs 180 cm Around 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Stronger takedown offense 8.6 vs 8.3 Around 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Heavier 184 lbs vs 169 lbs Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Palhares on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Linhares’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Rousimar
Palhares
In 5:27, how much damage will he do? Palhares Linhares
Significant Strikes15
Palhares's poor striking offense won't be a factor against Linhares's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 49 Significant Strikes in 5:27
Poor
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Palhares's average takedown offense is matched by Linhares's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 3 Takedowns in 5:27
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Palhares is unlikely to win by knockout
Weak
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Palhares has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Palhares is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Linhares on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Palhares’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Lucio
Linhares
In 5:27, how much damage will he do? Linhares Palhares
Significant Strikes18
Linhares's average striking offense won't be a factor against Palhares's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 49 Significant Strikes in 5:27
Average
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Linhares's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Palhares's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 3 Takedowns in 5:27
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Linhares has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Linhares is unlikely to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Linhares is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Palhares 6.3
fighter Linhares 7.8
Great knockouts by Linhares
Round 1 Oct 16, 2010 vs Whitesel
Round 1 Nov 26, 2008 vs Amoussou
Round 1 Sep 16, 2006 vs Valtonen

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Palhares 9.7
fighter Linhares 7.8
Great submissions by Palhares
Round 1 Oct 09, 2013 vs Pierce
Round 1 Mar 27, 2010 vs Drwal
Round 2 Dec 12, 2009 vs Linhares

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Palhares 9.6
fighter Linhares 8.4
Fast finishes by Palhares
31 seconds Oct 09, 2013 vs Pierce
404 seconds Mar 03, 2011 vs Branch
45 seconds Mar 27, 2010 vs Drwal
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
December 12, 2009UFC 107
team
VS
team
XR2 SUB
XR2 SUB
1,8801,900
1,8321,947
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Palhares
legend Linhares
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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