UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - McKenzie vs Edwards

1,813

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
McKenzie

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 3

prediction
51% chance McKenzie
WILL WIN

1,807

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Cody McKenzie
Much better submission offense 8.8 vs 7.4 Around 20% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Much stronger takedown offense 8.4 vs 7.2 More than 15% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Significantly younger 30 years vs 42 years Around 30% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Significantly fast finishes 8.5 vs 8.1 More than 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Taller 183 cm vs 178 cm Around 5% taller
Heavier 169 lbs vs 155 lbs Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Harder to hit 8.6 vs 8.5 Almost the same
Advantages for Yves Edwards
Much heavier hands 8.0 vs 6.3 Around 30% better at knocking out good defenders
Better striker 8.7 vs 7.8 More than 10% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Much better takedown defense 9.0 vs 8.1 More than 10% better at avoiding being taken down
Significantly better submission defense 9.3 vs 8.3 More than 10% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Puts up a fight 9.4 vs 8.5 More than 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Significantly stronger jaw 9.2 vs 8.4 Around 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Longer reach 185 cm vs 177 cm More than 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
McKenzie on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Edwards’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Cody
McKenzie
In 12:45, how much damage will he do? McKenzie Edwards
Significant Strikes39
McKenzie's below average striking offense won't be a factor against Edwards's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 115 Significant Strikes in 12:45
Below average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
McKenzie's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Edwards's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 7 Takedowns in 12:45
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
McKenzie is unlikely to win by knockout
Weak
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
McKenzie has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
McKenzie is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Edwards on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against McKenzie’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Yves
Edwards
In 12:45, how much damage will he do? Edwards McKenzie
Significant Strikes63
Edwards's good striking offense may be a factor against McKenzie's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 115 Significant Strikes in 12:45
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Edwards's poor takedown offense won't be a factor against McKenzie's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 7 Takedowns in 12:45
Poor
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Edwards is unlikely to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Edwards is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Edwards is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter McKenzie 7.8
fighter Edwards 8.7
Great striking by Edwards
8 strikes Dec 08, 2012 vs Stephens
33 strikes Jan 22, 2011 vs McKenzie
4 strikes May 22, 2005 vs Mishima

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter McKenzie 8.4
fighter Edwards 7.2
Great takedowns by McKenzie
5 takedowns Apr 27, 2013 vs Garcia
1 takedown Dec 04, 2010 vs Wilkinson

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter McKenzie 6.3
fighter Edwards 8.0
Great knockouts by Edwards
Round 1 Dec 08, 2012 vs Stephens
Round 1 Feb 26, 2010 vs Noble
Round 1 Oct 10, 2009 vs Jensen

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter McKenzie 8.8
fighter Edwards 7.4
Great submissions by McKenzie
Round 1 May 15, 2012 vs LeVesseur
Round 1 Dec 04, 2010 vs Wilkinson
Round 1 Jan 09, 2010 vs Bentley

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter McKenzie 8.5
fighter Edwards 8.1
Fast finishes by McKenzie
185 seconds May 15, 2012 vs LeVesseur
123 seconds Dec 04, 2010 vs Wilkinson
184 seconds Jan 09, 2010 vs Bentley
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
January 22, 2011UFC Fight Night 23
team
VS
team
XR2 SUB
XDEC
1,8891,969
1,8512,007
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend McKenzie
legend Edwards
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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