UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Inoue vs Nishida

1,652

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Inoue

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 1

prediction
75% chance Inoue
WILL WIN

1,458

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Enson Inoue
Much better submission offense 8.2 vs 6.5 More than 25% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Fast finishes 8.2 vs 7.1 More than 15% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Much harder to hit 9.0 vs 8.2 Around 10% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Puts up a fight 8.4 vs 7.0 Around 20% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Better submission defense 8.7 vs 8.1 Around 10% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Stronger jaw 7.6 vs 7.3 Around 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Advantages for Soichi Nishida
Much heavier 316 lbs vs 203 lbs More than 55% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Significantly stronger takedown offense 8.3 vs 7.5 More than 10% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Heavier hands 6.7 vs 6.3 More than 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Better takedown defense 8.2 vs 8.0 Almost the same
Slightly taller 180 cm vs 178 cm Almost the same
Inoue on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Nishida’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Enson
Inoue
In 4:21, how much damage will he do? Inoue Nishida
Significant Strikes21
Inoue's average striking offense may be a factor against Nishida's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 39 Significant Strikes in 4:21
Average
Striking
vs
Below average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Inoue's below average takedown offense won't be a factor against Nishida's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 2 Takedowns in 4:21
Below average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Inoue is unlikely to win by knockout
Weak
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Inoue has a good chance of winning by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Inoue is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Nishida on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Inoue’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Soichi
Nishida
In 4:21, how much damage will he do? Nishida Inoue
Significant Strikes13
Nishida's average striking offense won't be a factor against Inoue's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 39 Significant Strikes in 4:21
Average
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Nishida's average takedown offense is matched by Inoue's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 2 Takedowns in 4:21
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Nishida is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Nishida is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Nishida is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Inoue 8.2
fighter Nishida 8.2
Great striking by Inoue
4 strikes Apr 29, 1999 vs Nishida
5 strikes Oct 25, 1998 vs Couture

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Inoue 6.3
fighter Nishida 6.7
Great knockouts by Nishida
Round 1 Aug 23, 2009 vs Mochizuki
Round 1 May 15, 2005 vs Shibata
Round 2 Oct 27, 2002 vs Kataya

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Inoue 8.2
fighter Nishida 6.5
Great submissions by Inoue
Round 1 Oct 25, 1998 vs Couture
Round 1 Oct 04, 1996 vs Abdullah
Round 1 Jul 29, 1995 vs de Kruijf

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Inoue 8.3
fighter Nishida 7.1
Fast finishes by Inoue
99 seconds Oct 25, 1998 vs Couture
38 seconds Oct 04, 1996 vs Abdullah
100 seconds Jul 29, 1995 vs de Kruijf
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
January 10, 2004FFCF 1
team
VS
team
R0 SUBX
R3 SUBX
1,6411,396
1,6611,376
April 29, 1999Pride 5
team
VS
team
R1 SUBX
R3 SUBX
1,7071,500
1,7301,477
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Inoue
legend Nishida
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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