UFC fight predictions and analysis
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CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Camoes vs Morgan

1,876

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Camoes

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 2

prediction
85% chance Camoes
WILL WIN

1,576

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Fabricio Camoes
Fast finishes 8.4 vs 7.5 Around 15% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Much harder to hit 8.9 vs 8.1 More than 10% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Much heavier hands 7.2 vs 6.2 More than 15% better at knocking out good defenders
Puts up a fight 8.6 vs 7.5 Around 15% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Significantly stronger jaw 8.8 vs 7.8 More than 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Significantly better submission offense 8.1 vs 7.6 More than 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Better striker 8.2 vs 7.9 Around 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Better takedown defense 7.7 vs 7.3 More than 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Advantages for Sam Morgan
Stronger takedown offense 8.6 vs 8.4 Almost the same
Younger 36 years vs 39 years Around 10% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Taller 178 cm vs 175 cm Almost the same
Slightly heavier 164 lbs vs 155 lbs More than 5% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Camoes on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Morgan’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Fabricio
Camoes
In 5:35, how much damage will he do? Camoes Morgan
Significant Strikes29
Camoes's average striking offense may be a factor against Morgan's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 50 Significant Strikes in 5:35
Average
Striking
vs
Below average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Camoes's average takedown offense may be a factor against Morgan's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 3 Takedowns in 5:35
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Poor
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Camoes has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Camoes has a good chance of winning by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Camoes is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Morgan on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Camoes’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Sam
Morgan
In 5:35, how much damage will he do? Morgan Camoes
Significant Strikes14
Morgan's below average striking offense won't be a factor against Camoes's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 50 Significant Strikes in 5:35
Below average
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Morgan's average takedown offense may be a factor against Camoes's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 3 Takedowns in 5:35
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Below average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Morgan is unlikely to win by knockout
Weak
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Morgan is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Morgan is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Camoes 8.2
fighter Morgan 7.9
Great striking by Camoes
6 strikes Jan 20, 2012 vs Hayden

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Camoes 7.2
fighter Morgan 6.2
Great knockouts by Camoes
Round 1 Feb 18, 2011 vs Lopez
Round 1 Apr 05, 2008 vs Camacho
Round 1 May 16, 2003 vs Tulio

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Camoes 8.1
fighter Morgan 7.6
Great submissions by Camoes
Round 1 Jan 20, 2012 vs Hayden
Round 1 May 15, 2009 vs Taylor
Round 1 Oct 07, 2006 vs Silva

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Camoes 8.5
fighter Morgan 7.5
Fast finishes by Camoes
243 seconds Jan 20, 2012 vs Hayden
23 seconds Feb 18, 2011 vs Lopez
200 seconds Apr 05, 2008 vs Camacho
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
team
VS
team
R1 SUBX
R2 SUBX
1,7891,631
1,8181,602
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Camoes
legend Morgan
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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