UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Nurmagomedov vs Khabilov

2,192

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Nurmagomedov

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
75% chance Nurmagomedov
WILL WIN

2,000

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Khabib Nurmagomedov
Much longer winning streak 24 fights vs 4 fights 6x longer winning streak; has momentum coming into a fight
Significantly better submission offense 7.8 vs 7.0 More than 10% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Taller 178 cm vs 173 cm Around 5% taller
Better striker 8.6 vs 8.3 Around 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Better takedown defense 9.0 vs 8.6 Around 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Better submission defense 9.0 vs 8.5 More than 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Fast finishes 8.4 vs 8.1 Around 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Younger 29 years vs 31 years More than 5% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Advantages for Rustam Khabilov
Longer reach 185 cm vs 178 cm Around 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Slightly stronger jaw 9.0 vs 8.8 Almost the same
Nurmagomedov on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Khabilov’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Khabib
Nurmagomedov
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Nurmagomedov Khabilov
Significant Strikes64
Nurmagomedov's good striking offense may be a factor against Khabilov's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns4
Nurmagomedov's good takedown offense may be a factor against Khabilov's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Nurmagomedov is unlikely to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Nurmagomedov is unlikely to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Nurmagomedov has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Khabilov on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Nurmagomedov’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Rustam
Khabilov
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Khabilov Nurmagomedov
Significant Strikes53
Khabilov's average striking offense won't be a factor against Nurmagomedov's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Khabilov's good takedown offense is matched by Nurmagomedov's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Khabilov is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Khabilov is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Khabilov is unlikely to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Nurmagomedov 8.6
fighter Khabilov 8.4
Great striking by Nurmagomedov
54 strikes Sep 21, 2013 vs Healy
22 strikes Jan 19, 2013 vs Tavares
25 strikes Jul 07, 2012 vs Tibau

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Nurmagomedov 9.0
fighter Khabilov 9.0
Great takedowns by Khabilov
2 takedowns Nov 06, 2013 vs Masvidal
1 takedown Apr 27, 2013 vs Medeiros
5 takedowns Dec 15, 2012 vs Pichel

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Nurmagomedov 7.7
fighter Khabilov 7.6
Great knockouts by Nurmagomedov
Round 1 Jan 19, 2013 vs Tavares
Round 1 Oct 22, 2011 vs Santos
Round 2 Feb 12, 2011 vs Agafonov

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Nurmagomedov 7.8
fighter Khabilov 7.0
Great submissions by Nurmagomedov
Round 3 Jan 20, 2012 vs Shalorus
Round 1 Aug 05, 2011 vs Mamedov
Round 1 Nov 03, 2009 vs Shamhalaev

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Nurmagomedov 8.4
fighter Khabilov 8.1
Fast finishes by Nurmagomedov
115 seconds Jan 19, 2013 vs Tavares
728 seconds Jan 20, 2012 vs Shalorus
213 seconds Oct 22, 2011 vs Santos
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Nurmagomedov
legend Khabilov
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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