UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Nurmagomedov vs Healy

2,192

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Nurmagomedov

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
82% chance Nurmagomedov
WILL WIN

1,925

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Khabib Nurmagomedov
Fast finishes 8.4 vs 7.4 Around 15% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Significantly heavier hands 7.7 vs 6.6 More than 15% better at knocking out good defenders
Significantly better takedown defense 9.0 vs 8.4 More than 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Harder to hit 8.9 vs 8.6 Around 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Better striker 8.6 vs 8.4 Around 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Younger 28 years vs 33 years More than 15% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Taller 178 cm vs 175 cm Almost the same
Stronger takedown offense 9.0 vs 8.8 Around 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Advantages for Pat Healy
Significantly longer reach 188 cm vs 178 cm More than 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Stronger jaw 9.4 vs 8.8 More than 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Puts up a fight 9.8 vs 9.1 More than 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Nurmagomedov on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Healy’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Khabib
Nurmagomedov
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Nurmagomedov Healy
Significant Strikes72
Nurmagomedov's good striking offense may be a factor against Healy's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns4
Nurmagomedov's good takedown offense may be a factor against Healy's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Nurmagomedov is unlikely to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Nurmagomedov is unlikely to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Nurmagomedov has a very good chance of winning by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Healy on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Nurmagomedov’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Pat
Healy
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Healy Nurmagomedov
Significant Strikes54
Healy's average striking offense won't be a factor against Nurmagomedov's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Healy's good takedown offense is matched by Nurmagomedov's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Healy is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Healy is unlikely to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Healy is unlikely to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Nurmagomedov 8.6
fighter Healy 8.4
Great striking by Nurmagomedov
54 strikes Sep 21, 2013 vs Healy
22 strikes Jan 19, 2013 vs Tavares
25 strikes Jul 07, 2012 vs Tibau

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Nurmagomedov 9.0
fighter Healy 8.8
Great takedowns by Nurmagomedov
5 takedowns Sep 21, 2013 vs Healy
21 takedowns May 25, 2013 vs Trujillo
3 takedowns Jan 20, 2012 vs Shalorus

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Nurmagomedov 7.7
fighter Healy 6.6
Great knockouts by Nurmagomedov
Round 1 Jan 19, 2013 vs Tavares
Round 1 Oct 22, 2011 vs Santos
Round 2 Feb 12, 2011 vs Agafonov

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Nurmagomedov 7.8
fighter Healy 7.8
Great submissions by Nurmagomedov
Round 3 Jan 20, 2012 vs Shalorus
Round 1 Aug 05, 2011 vs Mamedov
Round 1 Nov 03, 2009 vs Shamkhalaev

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Nurmagomedov 8.4
fighter Healy 7.4
Fast finishes by Nurmagomedov
115 seconds Jan 19, 2013 vs Tavares
728 seconds Jan 20, 2012 vs Shalorus
213 seconds Oct 22, 2011 vs Santos
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
September 21, 2013UFC 165
team
VS
team
R3 DECX
XDEC
2,0862,126
2,1422,071
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Nurmagomedov
legend Healy
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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