UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Nurmagomedov vs Ferguson

2,192

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Nurmagomedov

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
77% chance Nurmagomedov
WILL WIN

1,986

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Khabib Nurmagomedov
Much longer winning streak 24 fights vs 9 fights Around 2.8x longer winning streak; has momentum coming into a fight
Much stronger takedown offense 9.0 vs 8.1 More than 10% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Significantly harder to hit 8.9 vs 8.5 Around 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Better submission offense 7.8 vs 7.2 Around 10% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Better submission defense 9.0 vs 8.4 More than 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Younger 28 years vs 33 years More than 15% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Puts up a fight 9.1 vs 8.9 Around 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Slightly better takedown defense 9.0 vs 8.9 Almost the same
Advantages for Tony Ferguson
Much longer reach 193 cm vs 178 cm Around 10% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Much heavier hands 8.8 vs 7.7 Around 15% better at knocking out good defenders
Taller 183 cm vs 178 cm Around 5% taller
Fast finishes 8.8 vs 8.4 Around 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Nurmagomedov on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Ferguson’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Khabib
Nurmagomedov
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Nurmagomedov Ferguson
Significant Strikes75
Nurmagomedov's good striking offense may be a factor against Ferguson's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Nurmagomedov's good takedown offense is matched by Ferguson's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Nurmagomedov is unlikely to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Nurmagomedov is unlikely to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Nurmagomedov has a good chance of winning by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Ferguson on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Nurmagomedov’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Tony
Ferguson
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Ferguson Nurmagomedov
Significant Strikes62
Ferguson's good striking offense is matched by Nurmagomedov's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Good
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Ferguson's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Nurmagomedov's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Ferguson has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Ferguson is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Ferguson is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Nurmagomedov 8.6
fighter Ferguson 8.6
Great striking by Nurmagomedov
54 strikes Sep 21, 2013 vs Healy
22 strikes Jan 19, 2013 vs Tavares
25 strikes Jul 07, 2012 vs Tibau

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Nurmagomedov 9.0
fighter Ferguson 8.1
Great takedowns by Nurmagomedov
5 takedowns Sep 21, 2013 vs Healy
21 takedowns May 25, 2013 vs Trujillo
3 takedowns Jan 20, 2012 vs Shalorus

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Nurmagomedov 7.7
fighter Ferguson 8.8
Great knockouts by Ferguson
Round 1 Sep 24, 2011 vs Riley
Round 1 Jun 04, 2011 vs Nijem
Round 4 Sep 25, 2010 vs Jardine

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Nurmagomedov 7.8
fighter Ferguson 7.2
Great submissions by Nurmagomedov
Round 3 Jan 20, 2012 vs Shalorus
Round 1 Aug 05, 2011 vs Mamedov
Round 1 Nov 03, 2009 vs Shamkhalaev

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Nurmagomedov 8.4
fighter Ferguson 8.8
Fast finishes by Ferguson
112 seconds Oct 19, 2013 vs Rio
300 seconds Sep 24, 2011 vs Riley
1055 seconds Sep 25, 2010 vs Jardine
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Nurmagomedov
legend Ferguson
Read More
Nurmagomedov vs McGregor
Fantasy Cage Match
Ferguson vs McGregor
Fantasy Cage Match
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
Showing 16 comments.
ready to be proved wrong bud
Now you're just trolling me by saying this dumb shit and you lied and said I picked Weidman over jones. I dare you to find proof of any of that cuz you won't. Don't be upset because I got the Bisping fight right and you never even made a pick on that one cuz you were afraid to eat your words
You hopped on the banwaggon after mendes lost and I was with conor from the beginning. All the way back from when he beat the guy before ivan buchinger.
He was still conscious and he never turned away from his opponent. He only got hit with that knee because he was being stupid and worrying about his mouthpiece. Anderson didn't do anything for most of the fight while Bisping kept coming after him and hitting him.
I said McGregor would beat Aldo and we started talking after the Mendes fight dummy so don't even try to use that. I've been a McGregor fan since his Poirier win
start apologizing. I told you that you would start picking mcgregor to win after he beat mendes and jose and then you hopped on the banwaggon. Such a stupid little twat you are. I was with mcgregor from day one. I was with him when I first saw him fight live, the fight before the ivan buchinger fight.
ha ha.
ha ha
bisping did not win, if that knee wouldn't have been there then you would be right but herb dean was in their and not john mcarthy. You just celebrated for a fight that went up to the judges and if it was up to the boss(dana white) then he would have had it at 3 to 2 silva. The facts speak for themselve and michael bisping was proved to be knocked out for 2.2 seconds. He should not have fought and he did not win that fight. When you get knocked unconsious, you atomatically lose the fight unless herb dean is the ref because he did a steve harvey.
Another win for me with Bisping tonight
Khabib is a sambo fighter and freestyle wrestler. He did no damage to dos Anjos on the feet or the ground. Conor is good but he gets messed up by wonderboy or Rockhold. He'd beat Lawler and all the other 170 pounders
You're delusional if you think you won. I called you on your lies proved they were lies and predicted every response you would make. I also make better picks then you and Ferguson will maul khabib if he shows up
how's it feel to be number two kiddo. You were good, real good, but as long as I am around you will just be a distant memory of a past that just couldn't make it. I am king. silva ko's bisping you stupid little english boy.
khabib is a boxer you stupid little infant. Just because you have the abilities to wrestle, doesn't mean that he does it in their. There is only one reason he won that fight vs dos anjos and that was because he shot down the boxing and rafael got desperate and khabib decided that he would whoop rafael throughout three rounds instead of knocking another stupid little child out. This is a no win win fight as who ever wins the fight, really loses because conor is the champ. He is the 170 and 155 belt champ and might even hit that 185 if I tell him to. I am king and I say what will happen and when it will happen. silva will ko bisping.
khabib is a wrestler with bad striking and has been out for two years. Ferguson can do it all and has been beating asses all year long. I wonder who will win?
lets see!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!1 Khabib can do knock outs, submissions and can destory kids in decisions. He already beat the so called light weight champion and what does ferguson have?????????? Oh Ya, he can do a flip and hurt herself. I wonder who would ever win.
comments powered by Disqus