UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Nurmagomedov vs Holloway

2,192

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Nurmagomedov

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
84% chance Nurmagomedov
WILL WIN

1,900

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Khabib Nurmagomedov
Much longer winning streak 24 fights vs 11 fights Around 2.2x longer winning streak; has momentum coming into a fight
Much stronger takedown offense 9.0 vs 7.5 More than 20% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Fast finishes 8.4 vs 7.3 More than 15% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Much better submission offense 7.8 vs 6.8 Around 15% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Much better takedown defense 9.0 vs 7.7 More than 15% better at avoiding being taken down
Significantly harder to hit 8.9 vs 8.4 More than 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Better submission defense 9.0 vs 8.4 More than 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Puts up a fight 9.1 vs 8.9 Around 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Heavier 155 lbs vs 144 lbs Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Advantages for Max Holloway
Younger 25 years vs 29 years Around 15% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Heavier hands 7.9 vs 7.7 Around 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Taller 180 cm vs 178 cm Almost the same
Nurmagomedov on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Holloway’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Khabib
Nurmagomedov
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Nurmagomedov Holloway
Significant Strikes81
Nurmagomedov's good striking offense may be a factor against Holloway's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns6
Nurmagomedov's good takedown offense may be a factor against Holloway's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Below average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Nurmagomedov is unlikely to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Nurmagomedov is unlikely to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Nurmagomedov has a very good chance of winning by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Holloway on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Nurmagomedov’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Max
Holloway
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Holloway Nurmagomedov
Significant Strikes61
Holloway's average striking offense won't be a factor against Nurmagomedov's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Holloway's poor takedown offense won't be a factor against Nurmagomedov's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Poor
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Holloway is unlikely to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Holloway is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Holloway is unlikely to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Nurmagomedov 8.6
fighter Holloway 8.6
Great striking by Nurmagomedov
54 strikes Sep 21, 2013 vs Healy
22 strikes Jan 19, 2013 vs Tavares
25 strikes Jul 07, 2012 vs Tibau

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Nurmagomedov 9.0
fighter Holloway 7.5
Great takedowns by Nurmagomedov
5 takedowns Sep 21, 2013 vs Healy
21 takedowns May 25, 2013 vs Trujillo
3 takedowns Jan 20, 2012 vs Shalorus

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Nurmagomedov 7.7
fighter Holloway 7.9
Great knockouts by Holloway
Round 2 Jan 04, 2014 vs Chope
Round 2 Aug 11, 2012 vs Lawrence
Round 1 Nov 06, 2010 vs Kamaka

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Nurmagomedov 7.8
fighter Holloway 6.8
Great submissions by Nurmagomedov
Round 3 Jan 20, 2012 vs Shalorus
Round 1 Aug 05, 2011 vs Mamedov
Round 1 Nov 03, 2009 vs Shamhalaev

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Nurmagomedov 8.4
fighter Holloway 7.3
Fast finishes by Nurmagomedov
115 seconds Jan 19, 2013 vs Tavares
728 seconds Jan 20, 2012 vs Shalorus
213 seconds Oct 22, 2011 vs Santos
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Nurmagomedov
legend Holloway
Read More
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Fantasy Cage Match
Holloway vs Edgar
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Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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