UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Nurmagomedov vs Woodley

2,192

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Nurmagomedov

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
64% chance Nurmagomedov
WILL WIN

2,090

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Khabib Nurmagomedov
Significantly stronger takedown offense 9.0 vs 8.4 More than 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Younger 28 years vs 35 years 20% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Better submission defense 9.0 vs 8.8 Almost the same
Slightly taller 178 cm vs 175 cm Almost the same
Slightly better submission offense 7.8 vs 7.7 Almost the same
Advantages for Tyron Woodley
Much heavier hands 8.5 vs 7.7 More than 10% better at knocking out good defenders
Significantly fast finishes 8.9 vs 8.4 More than 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Better takedown defense 9.5 vs 9.0 More than 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Longer reach 188 cm vs 178 cm More than 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Better striker 8.9 vs 8.6 Around 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Harder to hit 9.1 vs 8.9 Around 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Heavier 169 lbs vs 155 lbs Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Puts up a fight 9.3 vs 9.1 Almost the same
Nurmagomedov on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Woodley’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Khabib
Nurmagomedov
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Nurmagomedov Woodley
Significant Strikes55
Nurmagomedov's good striking offense is matched by Woodley's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Good
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Nurmagomedov's good takedown offense won't be a factor against Woodley's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Nurmagomedov is unlikely to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Nurmagomedov is unlikely to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Nurmagomedov has a good chance of winning by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Woodley on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Nurmagomedov’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Tyron
Woodley
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Woodley Nurmagomedov
Significant Strikes72
Woodley's good striking offense is matched by Nurmagomedov's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Good
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Woodley's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Nurmagomedov's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Woodley has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Woodley is unlikely to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Woodley is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Nurmagomedov 8.6
fighter Woodley 8.9
Great striking by Woodley
22 strikes Nov 16, 2013 vs Koscheck
15 strikes Feb 02, 2013 vs Hieron
20 strikes Jul 30, 2011 vs Daley

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Nurmagomedov 9.0
fighter Woodley 8.4
Great takedowns by Nurmagomedov
5 takedowns Sep 21, 2013 vs Healy
21 takedowns May 25, 2013 vs Trujillo
3 takedowns Jan 20, 2012 vs Shalorus

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Nurmagomedov 7.7
fighter Woodley 8.5
Great knockouts by Woodley
Round 1 Nov 16, 2013 vs Koscheck
Round 1 Feb 02, 2013 vs Hieron
Round 1 Oct 09, 2010 vs Galvao

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Nurmagomedov 7.8
fighter Woodley 7.7
Great submissions by Nurmagomedov
Round 3 Jan 20, 2012 vs Shalorus
Round 1 Aug 05, 2011 vs Mamedov
Round 1 Nov 03, 2009 vs Shamkhalaev

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Nurmagomedov 8.4
fighter Woodley 8.9
Fast finishes by Woodley
278 seconds Nov 16, 2013 vs Koscheck
36 seconds Feb 02, 2013 vs Hieron
172 seconds Nov 20, 2009 vs Bears
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Nurmagomedov
legend Woodley
Read More
Nurmagomedov vs McGregor
Fantasy Cage Match
Woodley vs McGregor
Fantasy Cage Match
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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