UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Alessio vs Daley

1,895

CageRank

WINNER
Daley

prediction

BY KO ROUND 3

prediction
67% chance Daley
WILL WIN

2,017

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Paul Daley
Much heavier hands 9.5 vs 7.1 Around 35% better at knocking out good defenders
Fast finishes 8.7 vs 7.7 Around 15% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Better striker 8.7 vs 8.1 Around 10% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Better takedown defense 8.4 vs 8.0 More than 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Younger 35 years vs 39 years More than 10% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Heavier 170 lbs vs 155 lbs Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Puts up a fight 9.6 vs 9.3 Around 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Longer reach 189 cm vs 185 cm Almost the same
Better submission defense 9.4 vs 9.2 Almost the same
Slightly stronger jaw 9.3 vs 9.2 Almost the same
Advantages for John Alessio
Much better submission offense 7.9 vs 6.3 More than 25% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Stronger takedown offense 7.9 vs 7.6 Around 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Slightly taller 178 cm vs 175 cm Almost the same
Daley on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Alessio’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Paul
Daley
In 12:02, how much damage will he do? Daley Alessio
Significant Strikes59
Daley's good striking offense may be a factor against Alessio's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 108 Significant Strikes in 12:02
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Daley's below average takedown offense won't be a factor against Alessio's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 7 Takedowns in 12:02
Below average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Daley has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Daley is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Daley has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Alessio on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Daley’s defensive skills
Predictions For
John
Alessio
In 12:02, how much damage will he do? Alessio Daley
Significant Strikes39
Alessio's average striking offense is matched by Daley's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 108 Significant Strikes in 12:02
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Alessio's below average takedown offense won't be a factor against Daley's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 7 Takedowns in 12:02
Below average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Alessio is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Alessio is unlikely to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Alessio is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Daley 8.7
fighter Alessio 8.1
Great striking by Daley
17 strikes Dec 04, 2010 vs Smith
8 strikes Jan 02, 2010 vs Hazelett
27 strikes Sep 19, 2009 vs Kampmann

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Daley 7.6
fighter Alessio 7.9
Great takedowns by Alessio
4 takedowns Dec 12, 2007 vs Moore
3 takedowns Sep 05, 2007 vs Brito
1 takedown Jan 20, 2007 vs Gassaway

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Daley 9.5
fighter Alessio 7.1
Great knockouts by Daley
Round 1 Jan 02, 2010 vs Hazelett
Round 1 Sep 19, 2009 vs Kampmann
Round 2 Dec 05, 2008 vs Alessio

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Daley 6.3
fighter Alessio 7.9
Great submissions by Alessio
Round 2 Oct 16, 2010 vs Golyaev
Round 3 Jul 09, 2010 vs Machine
Round 1 May 15, 2009 vs Buckland

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Daley 8.8
fighter Alessio 7.7
Fast finishes by Daley
144 seconds Jan 02, 2010 vs Hazelett
151 seconds Sep 19, 2009 vs Kampmann
438 seconds Dec 05, 2008 vs Alessio
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
December 5, 2008MFC 19
team
VS
team
XR2 KO
XR1 KO
1,9201,923
1,8701,973
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Daley
legend Alessio
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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