UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Alessio vs Bahadurzada

1,895

CageRank

WINNER
Bahadurzada

prediction

BY KO ROUND 3

prediction
62% chance Bahadurzada
WILL WIN

1,979

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Siyar Bahadurzada
Much heavier hands 8.9 vs 7.1 More than 25% better at knocking out good defenders
Fast finishes 9.1 vs 7.7 Around 20% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Better striker 8.4 vs 8.1 Around 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Younger 33 years vs 38 years Around 15% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Heavier 169 lbs vs 155 lbs Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Stronger takedown offense 8.0 vs 7.9 Almost the same
Stronger jaw 9.3 vs 9.2 Almost the same
Taller 180 cm vs 178 cm Almost the same
Slightly better takedown defense 8.2 vs 8.0 Almost the same
Advantages for John Alessio
Much better submission offense 7.9 vs 7.0 More than 10% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Better submission defense 9.2 vs 8.7 Around 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Bahadurzada on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Alessio’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Siyar
Bahadurzada
In 10:54, how much damage will he do? Bahadurzada Alessio
Significant Strikes45
Bahadurzada's average striking offense is matched by Alessio's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 98 Significant Strikes in 10:54
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Bahadurzada's average takedown offense is matched by Alessio's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 10:54
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Bahadurzada has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Bahadurzada is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Bahadurzada has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Alessio on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Bahadurzada’s defensive skills
Predictions For
John
Alessio
In 10:54, how much damage will he do? Alessio Bahadurzada
Significant Strikes36
Alessio's average striking offense is matched by Bahadurzada's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 98 Significant Strikes in 10:54
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Alessio's below average takedown offense won't be a factor against Bahadurzada's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 10:54
Below average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Alessio is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Alessio is unlikely to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Alessio is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Bahadurzada 8.4
fighter Alessio 8.1
Great striking by Bahadurzada
3 strikes Apr 14, 2012 vs Thiago

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Bahadurzada 8.9
fighter Alessio 7.1
Great knockouts by Bahadurzada
Round 1 Apr 14, 2012 vs Thiago
Round 1 Mar 19, 2011 vs Alessio
Round 1 Aug 06, 2010 vs Alexandre Pereira

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Bahadurzada 7.0
fighter Alessio 7.9
Great submissions by Alessio
Round 2 Oct 16, 2010 vs Golyaev
Round 3 Jul 09, 2010 vs Machine
Round 1 May 15, 2009 vs Buckland

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Bahadurzada 9.1
fighter Alessio 7.7
Fast finishes by Bahadurzada
42 seconds Apr 14, 2012 vs Thiago
115 seconds Mar 19, 2011 vs Alessio
94 seconds Aug 06, 2010 vs Alexandre Pereira
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
team
VS
team
XR1 KO
R1 SUBX
2,0152,011
1,9652,062
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Bahadurzada
legend Alessio
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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