UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Alessio vs Brooks

1,895

CageRank

WINNER
Brooks

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
76% chance Brooks
WILL WIN

2,096

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Will Brooks
Significantly stronger takedown offense 8.7 vs 7.9 More than 10% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Significantly better striker 8.6 vs 8.1 More than 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Significantly heavier hands 7.8 vs 7.1 Around 10% better at knocking out good defenders
Younger 30 years vs 37 years Around 20% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Better takedown defense 8.2 vs 8.0 Around 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Taller 180 cm vs 178 cm Almost the same
Advantages for John Alessio
Significantly stronger jaw 9.2 vs 8.3 More than 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Better submission offense 7.9 vs 7.4 More than 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Puts up a fight 9.3 vs 9.1 Around 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Brooks on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Alessio’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Will
Brooks
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Brooks Alessio
Significant Strikes68
Brooks's average striking offense is matched by Alessio's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns4
Brooks's average takedown offense is matched by Alessio's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Brooks is unlikely to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Brooks is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Brooks has a very good chance of winning by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Alessio on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Brooks’s defensive skills
Predictions For
John
Alessio
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Alessio Brooks
Significant Strikes49
Alessio's average striking offense is matched by Brooks's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Alessio's below average takedown offense won't be a factor against Brooks's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Below average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Alessio is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Alessio is unlikely to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Alessio is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Brooks 8.6
fighter Alessio 8.1
Great striking by Brooks
55 strikes Dec 31, 2012 vs Kitaoka

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Brooks 8.7
fighter Alessio 7.9
Great takedowns by Brooks
2 takedowns Dec 31, 2012 vs Kitaoka

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Brooks 7.8
fighter Alessio 7.1
Great knockouts by Brooks
Round 3 Jul 31, 2013 vs Leyva
Round 2 Dec 31, 2012 vs Kitaoka
Round 1 Jun 16, 2012 vs Bogguess

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Brooks 7.4
fighter Alessio 7.9
Great submissions by Alessio
Round 2 Oct 16, 2010 vs Golyaev
Round 3 Jul 09, 2010 vs Machine
Round 1 May 15, 2009 vs Buckland

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Brooks 7.6
fighter Alessio 7.7
Fast finishes by Alessio
411 seconds Oct 16, 2010 vs Golyaev
694 seconds Oct 02, 2009 vs Fioravanti
140 seconds Jun 22, 2002 vs Brennan
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
September 27, 2013Bellator 101
team
VS
team
XR3 DEC
R1 SUBX
1,8881,883
1,8371,933
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Brooks
legend Alessio
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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