UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Chandler vs Aoki

2,024

CageRank

WINNER
Aoki

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 2

prediction
79% chance Aoki
WILL WIN

2,254

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Shinya Aoki
Much better submission offense 9.9 vs 8.3 Around 20% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
A lot taller 180 cm vs 173 cm Around 5% taller
Significantly better submission defense 9.8 vs 8.7 More than 10% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Fast finishes 9.4 vs 8.9 More than 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Puts up a fight 9.4 vs 9.1 Around 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Advantages for Michael Chandler
Much heavier hands 8.0 vs 6.1 More than 30% better at knocking out good defenders
Significantly heavier 155 lbs vs 153 lbs Almost the same
Younger 31 years vs 34 years Around 10% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Aoki on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Chandler’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Shinya
Aoki
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Aoki is unlikely to win by knockout
Weak
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Aoki has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Aoki is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Chandler on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Aoki’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Michael
Chandler
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Chandler is unlikely to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Chandler has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Chandler is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Aoki 6.1
fighter Chandler 8.0
Great knockouts by Chandler
Round 1 Jul 31, 2013 vs Rickels
Round 1 May 04, 2012 vs Gono
Round 1 Sep 30, 2010 vs Stapp

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Aoki 9.9
fighter Chandler 8.3
Great submissions by Aoki
Round 2 Dec 31, 2012 vs McKee
Round 1 Jul 10, 2010 vs Kawajiri
Round 1 Dec 31, 2008 vs Alvarez

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Aoki 9.4
fighter Chandler 8.9
Fast finishes by Aoki
324 seconds Dec 31, 2012 vs McKee
113 seconds Jul 10, 2010 vs Kawajiri
92 seconds Dec 31, 2008 vs Alvarez
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Aoki
legend Chandler
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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