UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Aguilar vs Penne

2,042

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Aguilar

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
79% chance Aguilar
WILL WIN

1,816

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Jessica Aguilar
Significantly better submission defense 9.1 vs 8.1 More than 10% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Puts up a fight 9.1 vs 8.6 More than 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Stronger jaw 8.7 vs 8.4 Around 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Advantages for Jessica Penne
Significantly heavier hands 7.1 vs 6.5 Around 10% better at knocking out good defenders
Significantly better submission offense 8.3 vs 7.9 More than 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Fast finishes 8.0 vs 7.8 Around 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Taller 165 cm vs 160 cm Around 5% taller
Aguilar on the attack Our prediction about how she’ll perform against Penne’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Jessica
Aguilar
If she wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Aguilar is unlikely to win by knockout
Weak
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Aguilar has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Aguilar has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Penne on the attack Our prediction about how she’ll perform against Aguilar’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Jessica
Penne
If she wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Penne is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Penne has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Penne is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Aguilar 6.5
fighter Penne 7.1
Great knockouts by Penne
Round 3 Apr 28, 2012 vs Ellis
Round 1 May 01, 2009 vs Schneider

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Aguilar 7.9
fighter Penne 8.3
Great submissions by Penne
Round 1 Jul 13, 2013 vs Rivera-Calanoc
Round 2 Oct 06, 2012 vs Sugiyama
Round 2 Sep 25, 2009 vs Magana

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Aguilar 7.8
fighter Penne 8.0
Fast finishes by Penne
440 seconds Oct 06, 2012 vs Sugiyama
768 seconds Apr 28, 2012 vs Ellis
550 seconds Sep 25, 2009 vs Magana
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Aguilar
legend Penne
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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