UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Jansen vs Woodley

2,073

CageRank

WINNER
Woodley

prediction

BY KO ROUND 3

prediction
52% chance Woodley
WILL WIN

2,090

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Tyron Woodley
Much heavier hands 8.5 vs 6.4 Around 35% better at knocking out good defenders
Much better takedown defense 9.5 vs 8.2 More than 15% better at avoiding being taken down
Fast finishes 8.9 vs 8.0 More than 10% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Significantly better striker 8.9 vs 8.3 More than 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Significantly harder to hit 9.1 vs 8.6 More than 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Heavier 169 lbs vs 155 lbs Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Younger 36 years vs 39 years Around 10% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Slightly longer reach 188 cm vs 185 cm Almost the same
Advantages for Dave Jansen
Significantly better submission offense 8.4 vs 7.7 Around 10% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Stronger takedown offense 8.9 vs 8.4 More than 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Better submission defense 9.2 vs 8.8 Around 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Woodley on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Jansen’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Tyron
Woodley
In 11:35, how much damage will he do? Woodley Jansen
Significant Strikes63
Woodley's good striking offense may be a factor against Jansen's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 104 Significant Strikes in 11:35
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Woodley's average takedown offense is matched by Jansen's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 11:35
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Woodley has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Woodley is unlikely to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Woodley is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Jansen on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Woodley’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Dave
Jansen
In 11:35, how much damage will he do? Jansen Woodley
Significant Strikes34
Jansen's average striking offense won't be a factor against Woodley's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 104 Significant Strikes in 11:35
Average
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Jansen's good takedown offense won't be a factor against Woodley's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 11:35
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Jansen is unlikely to win by knockout
Weak
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Jansen has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Jansen has a good chance of winning by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Woodley 8.9
fighter Jansen 8.3
Great striking by Woodley
22 strikes Nov 16, 2013 vs Koscheck
15 strikes Feb 02, 2013 vs Hieron
20 strikes Jul 30, 2011 vs Daley

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Woodley 8.4
fighter Jansen 8.9
Great takedowns by Jansen
8 takedowns Oct 10, 2009 vs Crunkilton

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Woodley 8.5
fighter Jansen 6.4
Great knockouts by Woodley
Round 1 Nov 16, 2013 vs Koscheck
Round 1 Feb 02, 2013 vs Hieron
Round 1 Oct 09, 2010 vs Galvao

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Woodley 7.7
fighter Jansen 8.4
Great submissions by Jansen
Round 3 Oct 19, 2012 vs Saadulaev
Round 1 Apr 02, 2011 vs McAfee
Round 1 Feb 06, 2009 vs Lee

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Woodley 8.9
fighter Jansen 8.0
Fast finishes by Woodley
278 seconds Nov 16, 2013 vs Koscheck
36 seconds Feb 02, 2013 vs Hieron
172 seconds Nov 20, 2009 vs Bears
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Woodley
legend Jansen
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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