UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Volkov vs Nelson

2,050

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Volkov

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
59% chance Volkov
WILL WIN

1,990

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Alexander Volkov
Much taller 201 cm vs 183 cm Around 10% taller
Significantly younger 28 years vs 41 years More than 30% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Advantages for Roy Nelson
Puts up a fight 9.8 vs 9.1 Around 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Better submission defense 9.4 vs 8.8 More than 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Fast finishes 9.2 vs 8.7 More than 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Stronger jaw 9.6 vs 9.1 More than 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Heavier hands 9.4 vs 8.9 More than 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Heavier 248 lbs vs 239 lbs Around 5% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Better submission offense 6.7 vs 6.4 More than 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Volkov on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Nelson’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Alexander
Volkov
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Volkov has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Volkov is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Volkov has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Nelson on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Volkov’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Roy
Nelson
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Nelson has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Nelson is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Nelson is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Volkov 8.9
fighter Nelson 9.4
Great knockouts by Nelson
Round 1 Apr 27, 2013 vs Kongo
Round 1 May 26, 2012 vs Herman
Round 1 Mar 31, 2010 vs Struve

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Volkov 6.4
fighter Nelson 6.7
Great submissions by Nelson
Round 1 May 06, 2006 vs Godsey
Round 1 Apr 01, 2006 vs Buchkovich
Round 3 Apr 17, 2004 vs Cantrell

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Volkov 8.7
fighter Nelson 9.2
Fast finishes by Nelson
123 seconds Apr 27, 2013 vs Kongo
51 seconds May 26, 2012 vs Herman
39 seconds Mar 31, 2010 vs Struve
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
April 15, 2017UFC on Fox 24
team
VS
team
R3 DECX
XX
00
00
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Volkov
legend Nelson
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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