UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Cormier vs Monson

2,234

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Cormier

prediction

BY KO ROUND 3

prediction
96% chance Cormier
WILL WIN

1,667

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Daniel Cormier
Much heavier hands 8.5 vs 5.9 Around 45% better at knocking out good defenders
Better striker 9.2 vs 7.8 More than 15% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Fast finishes 8.7 vs 7.3 Around 20% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Much stronger jaw 9.3 vs 8.1 More than 15% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Significantly better submission offense 8.0 vs 7.5 More than 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Significantly younger 37 years vs 46 years Around 20% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Better takedown defense 9.6 vs 9.2 Around 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Stronger takedown offense 8.5 vs 8.2 Around 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Taller 180 cm vs 175 cm Around 5% taller
Harder to hit 9.1 vs 9.0 Almost the same
Advantages for Jeff Monson
Significantly better submission defense 9.6 vs 8.8 Around 10% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Heavier 237 lbs vs 205 lbs More than 15% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Cormier on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Monson’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Daniel
Cormier
In 12:21, how much damage will he do? Cormier Monson
Significant Strikes65
Cormier's excellent striking offense will dominate Monson's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 111 Significant Strikes in 12:21
Excellent
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Cormier's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Monson's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 7 Takedowns in 12:21
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Cormier has a good chance of winning by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Cormier has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Cormier has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Monson on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Cormier’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Jeff
Monson
In 12:21, how much damage will he do? Monson Cormier
Significant Strikes26
Monson's below average striking offense won't be a factor against Cormier's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 111 Significant Strikes in 12:21
Below average
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Monson's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Cormier's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 7 Takedowns in 12:21
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Monson is unlikely to win by knockout
Weak
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Monson is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Monson is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Cormier 9.2
fighter Monson 7.8
Great striking by Cormier
84 strikes May 19, 2012 vs Barnett
15 strikes Sep 10, 2011 vs Silva
86 strikes Jun 18, 2011 vs Monson

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Cormier 8.5
fighter Monson 8.2
Great takedowns by Cormier
3 takedowns Oct 19, 2013 vs Nelson
4 takedowns Jan 12, 2013 vs Staring
4 takedowns May 19, 2012 vs Barnett

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Cormier 8.5
fighter Monson 5.9
Great knockouts by Cormier
Round 2 Jan 12, 2013 vs Staring
Round 1 Sep 10, 2011 vs Silva
Round 1 Jul 31, 2010 vs Browne

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Cormier 8.0
fighter Monson 7.5
Great submissions by Cormier
Round 1 Nov 05, 2010 vs Palelei
Round 1 Aug 21, 2010 vs Riley
Round 1 Aug 13, 2010 vs Johnson

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Cormier 8.7
fighter Monson 7.3
Fast finishes by Cormier
542 seconds Jan 12, 2013 vs Staring
236 seconds Sep 10, 2011 vs Silva
62 seconds Aug 21, 2010 vs Riley
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
team
VS
team
R3 DECX
XR2 SUB
1,8902,080
1,9652,006
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Cormier
legend Monson
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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