UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Cormier vs Lewis

2,234

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Cormier

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
86% chance Cormier
WILL WIN

1,916

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Daniel Cormier
Much better submission offense 8.0 vs 6.5 Around 25% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Significantly fast finishes 8.7 vs 8.3 More than 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Stronger jaw 9.3 vs 8.9 More than 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Puts up a fight 9.5 vs 9.0 More than 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Better submission defense 8.8 vs 8.5 Around 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Advantages for Derrick Lewis
Much heavier hands 9.5 vs 8.5 Around 15% better at knocking out good defenders
Significantly heavier 264 lbs vs 205 lbs Around 30% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Taller 191 cm vs 180 cm More than 5% taller
Younger 33 years vs 39 years More than 15% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Cormier on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Lewis’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Daniel
Cormier
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Cormier has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Cormier has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Cormier has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Lewis on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Cormier’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Derrick
Lewis
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Lewis has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Lewis is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Lewis is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Cormier 8.5
fighter Lewis 9.5
Great knockouts by Lewis
Round 3 Mar 01, 2013 vs Shivers
Round 1 Mar 30, 2012 vs Frazier
Round 2 Jul 24, 2010 vs Martinez

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Cormier 8.0
fighter Lewis 6.5
Great submissions by Cormier
Round 2 Apr 08, 2017 vs Johnson
Round 3 May 24, 2014 vs Henderson
Round 1 Aug 13, 2010 vs Johnson

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Cormier 8.7
fighter Lewis 8.3
Fast finishes by Cormier
542 seconds Jan 12, 2013 vs Staring
236 seconds Sep 10, 2011 vs Silva
62 seconds Aug 21, 2010 vs Riley
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Cormier
legend Lewis
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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