UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Cormier vs Jones

2,234

CageRank

WINNER
Jones

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
69% chance Jones
WILL WIN

2,377

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Jon Jones
Much longer winning streak 13 fights vs 3 fights More than 4.2x longer winning streak; has momentum coming into a fight
Much longer reach 215 cm vs 184 cm More than 15% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Much stronger takedown offense 9.4 vs 8.5 More than 10% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Much taller 193 cm vs 180 cm More than 5% taller
Significantly harder to hit 9.6 vs 9.1 More than 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Significantly better striker 9.6 vs 9.2 Around 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Younger 29 years vs 37 years More than 20% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Better takedown defense 9.9 vs 9.6 Around 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Stronger jaw 9.7 vs 9.3 Around 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Fast finishes 8.9 vs 8.7 Almost the same
Better submission offense 8.2 vs 8.0 Almost the same
Advantages for Daniel Cormier
From what we can tell, Jon Jones dominates Daniel Cormier in every way.
Jones on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Cormier’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Jon
Jones
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Jones Cormier
Significant Strikes89
Jones's excellent striking offense will dominate Cormier's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Excellent
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Jones's excellent takedown offense is matched by Cormier's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Excellent
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Jones has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Jones has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Jones has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Cormier on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Jones’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Daniel
Cormier
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Cormier Jones
Significant Strikes58
Cormier's excellent striking offense is matched by Jones's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Excellent
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Cormier's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Jones's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Cormier has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Cormier has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Cormier is unlikely to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Jones 9.6
fighter Cormier 9.2
Great striking by Jones
20 strikes Apr 27, 2013 vs Sonnen
105 strikes Apr 21, 2012 vs Evans
61 strikes Sep 24, 2011 vs Jackson

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Jones 9.4
fighter Cormier 8.5
Great takedowns by Jones
3 takedowns Apr 27, 2013 vs Sonnen
1 takedown Apr 21, 2012 vs Evans
2 takedowns Sep 24, 2011 vs Jackson

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Jones 8.6
fighter Cormier 8.5
Great knockouts by Jones
Round 1 Apr 27, 2013 vs Sonnen
Round 3 Mar 19, 2011 vs Rua
Round 1 Aug 01, 2010 vs Matyushenko

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Jones 8.2
fighter Cormier 8.0
Great submissions by Jones
Round 4 Sep 22, 2012 vs Belfort
Round 2 Dec 10, 2011 vs Machida
Round 4 Sep 24, 2011 vs Jackson

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Jones 8.9
fighter Cormier 8.7
Fast finishes by Jones
273 seconds Apr 27, 2013 vs Sonnen
974 seconds Sep 24, 2011 vs Jackson
757 seconds Mar 19, 2011 vs Rua
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
January 3, 2015UFC 182
team
VS
team
XR5 DEC
XX
00
00
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Jones
legend Cormier
Read More
Cormier vs Velasquez
Fantasy Cage Match
Jones vs McGregor
Fantasy Cage Match
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
Showing 25 comments.
your obviously a teenager so I will inform you of this as gentle as I can. all pro fighters do not cheat. not every person has the same mentally and values. people are all different and make different decisions.
You are a dumbfuck. All pro fighters take drugs, you kiddo.
Jon Jones obviously has poor moral character. People like that will typically cheat. We have seen his willingness to cheat with fight moves, like his only loss for example. I suspect Jon Jones is a cheater, and the lack of PED this match may make a difference these numbers don't reflect. With the increased drug testing if he does things to either boost his strength and conditioning or to boost his weight cutting - he will not be able to have those advantages this time. This is the wild card in my opinion. All other things being even, Jon Jones should have the advantage. We will see the night of the fight.
I am the best, ha ha. You thought cormier would win!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! Jon jones will destroy cormier.
Mcgregor is the best ever, jones is second best, here are the truths behind rankings and what they really should be. The orignial pound for pound is:really bad and here what it truly is. 1. Conor mcgregor 2. jon jones 3. dominick cruz 4. joanna jederezek 5. holly holm. There is the truth, its just the truth, jon jones is going to kill cormier and cormier is already trying to run away from jones by taking a winter break like he is a bear.
I know I am right and I said that mcgregor and bader would win and mcgregor whooped mendes in round 2 and bader whooped evans in a decision boy
Wow! Congratulations! Do you have a shortlist of one year old comments ... in case the future showed you were right? :-)
I was right you were wrong
The best ufc light heavyweight champion of the world is back. Daniel cormier just pooped her panties and will try to run away from this fight. Jon jones is the undefeated ufc light heavyweight champion of the world and will go back to whoop cormier. Finally, yes!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
after I get my winnings from these upcoming fights of joseph duffy and vitor belfort I will bet one million on mcgregor winning. Then I will put five million dollars on jones winning. Its just simple. Simple.Simple. Its just a simple little thing about this fight, jones is the second best ufc fighter ever and mcgregor is the best rousey third, dominick cruz fourth, ryan bader fifth, chad mendes 900th. chad mendes is a little retard
The youngest ufc light heavyweight champion that has never lossed is back. He said that he is going to show you how great he is. The last person to say that knocked out the heavyweight champion of the world when no one thought he could because hes a old man. Now jones says this, jones has to fight this bacon rapped, fat tub of goo. This will be a tough fight for jones, not!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! Cormier is a fat little retard. Its just that simple, he even said in a recent comment that when he gets destoryed by jones bones then he will retire. I mean what type of champion is cormier if he knows hes already lost, a fake champ. Its sad. Its just sad to see some stupid person, think hes tough.
UFC 182: Jones vs. Cormier Fight Wacth: bslstream dot com / ufc
I totally agreed. Only a fool will say DC is less confident than JJ.
If Guftasson can get close to JJ n give troubles then DC will get close n cause big damage by power punches n take down. DC is much stronger than Guftasson n JJ.
LOL! if DC fought at close range he would get dismantled, He is going to constantly keep this on the ground and pray his size advantage lands him on top in control for a ground and pound. DC cannot strike with jones.... If you think DC has more power then rampage you're delusional. Jones isn't getting KO'd, if he loses it's by decision. DC has never fought a fighter capable of clinching and delivering Knee's and elbows. Size wont save you from basic mechanics
When JJ hit his opponents r still standing. When DC connects his opponents fall! This is power, strength call it what u want. DC always fight with taller fighters (because he is relatively short), so he specialize in slipping inside n neutralize the reach factor. Reach factor works both ways - greater reach difference means greater disadvantage at close range ! DC might toss JJ around n KO him.
How can he be more mentally tough than a silver medalist in the olympics you fool? Listen to what Cormier says and you'll realise that he is 100% confident. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=l3pDHB5P3Xk
Great strength is what DC has ! When come to grappling DC will over power JJ. n make him look weak. I totally agree with u that DC might just toss JJ around like what he did to Hendo. Even in striking DC can delivers KO blow at close quarter. All DC has to do is to fight at close range, and his strength n wrestling skill plus powerful strike will deliver a thrashing to JJ which he never thought could happen to him ! DC all the way !
Agree.
I couldn't agree more. DC has the speed advantage and needs to go for it since minute 1. Must close the gap earlier, otherwise that long legs of Jones will slow him very quickly. The stands of DC are too compact when fighting a long-range player as Jones.
You're right. I would not say fear, but seems like DC's mind is never clean. JJ is brutally focused and cold blooded, that's an important difference.
I agree. But set up a striking game against Jones is give him the space to setup his peculiar distance. Whatever he is planning to do, it has to be set earlier in the fight. Jon Jones can do real damage to DC legs, his stands seems to me too easy for Jones. DC has to be relentless, filling the gap all the time. Very difficult, but it is not impossible.
DC needs to put some preasure but he cant go like Sonnen and put some brawler preasure. I think he needs to set his striking, win some exchange, put some combinations and avoid Jones, then Jones will start to desperate and will try the takedown. When Jones tries the TD he is done, is DC time. But he need to be very careful with Jones striking and avoid any combination from Jones because if Jones starts to connect he will gain confidence, and a confident Jones can beat any men.
Jones has a striking chance, a flying knee, a good elbow that can hurt DC and end the fight. But if DC plays smart Jones has nothing for DC.
Jones will be surprised after a few minutes like gsp and Hendricks fight. Jones never felt a guy as strong and as good of wrestler as dc. I think dc by decision. I don't think jones can hurt dc, anywhere.
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