UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Cormier vs Emelianenko

2,234

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Cormier

prediction

BY KO ROUND 3

prediction
56% chance Cormier
WILL WIN

2,189

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Daniel Cormier
Stronger takedown offense 8.5 vs 8.0 More than 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Better takedown defense 9.6 vs 9.3 Around 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Better striker 9.2 vs 9.0 Almost the same
Stronger jaw 9.3 vs 9.1 Almost the same
Younger 38 years vs 41 years More than 5% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Puts up a fight 9.5 vs 9.3 Almost the same
Advantages for Fedor Emelianenko
Fast finishes 9.5 vs 8.7 Around 10% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Significantly harder to hit 9.6 vs 9.1 More than 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Better submission defense 9.3 vs 8.8 More than 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Better submission offense 8.3 vs 8.0 Around 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Heavier 222 lbs vs 205 lbs Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Longer reach 189 cm vs 184 cm Around 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Taller 183 cm vs 180 cm Almost the same
Cormier on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Emelianenko’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Daniel
Cormier
In 12:03, how much damage will he do? Cormier Emelianenko
Significant Strikes46
Cormier's excellent striking offense is matched by Emelianenko's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 108 Significant Strikes in 12:03
Excellent
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Cormier's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Emelianenko's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 7 Takedowns in 12:03
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Cormier has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Cormier has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Cormier is unlikely to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Emelianenko on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Cormier’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Fedor
Emelianenko
In 12:03, how much damage will he do? Emelianenko Cormier
Significant Strikes57
Emelianenko's excellent striking offense will dominate Cormier's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 108 Significant Strikes in 12:03
Excellent
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Emelianenko's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Cormier's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 7 Takedowns in 12:03
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Emelianenko has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Emelianenko has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Emelianenko is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Cormier 9.2
fighter Emelianenko 9.0
Great striking by Cormier
84 strikes May 19, 2012 vs Barnett
15 strikes Sep 10, 2011 vs Silva
86 strikes Jun 18, 2011 vs Monson

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Cormier 8.5
fighter Emelianenko 8.0
Great takedowns by Cormier
3 takedowns Oct 19, 2013 vs Nelson
4 takedowns Jan 12, 2013 vs Staring
4 takedowns May 19, 2012 vs Barnett

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Cormier 8.5
fighter Emelianenko 8.5
Great knockouts by Emelianenko
Round 2 Nov 07, 2009 vs Rogers
Round 1 Jan 24, 2009 vs Arlovski
Round 1 Nov 24, 2002 vs Herring

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Cormier 8.0
fighter Emelianenko 8.3
Great submissions by Emelianenko
Round 1 Jul 19, 2008 vs Sylvia
Round 1 Apr 14, 2007 vs Lindland
Round 2 Oct 21, 2006 vs Coleman

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Cormier 8.7
fighter Emelianenko 9.5
Fast finishes by Emelianenko
194 seconds Jan 24, 2009 vs Arlovski
36 seconds Jul 19, 2008 vs Sylvia
178 seconds Apr 14, 2007 vs Lindland
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Cormier
legend Emelianenko
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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