UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Cormier vs Evans

2,234

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Cormier

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
52% chance Cormier
WILL WIN

2,222

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Daniel Cormier
Much better submission offense 8.0 vs 6.8 Around 20% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Better striker 9.2 vs 8.9 Around 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Fast finishes 8.7 vs 8.2 More than 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Advantages for Rashad Evans
Significantly stronger takedown offense 9.1 vs 8.5 More than 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Harder to hit 9.5 vs 9.1 Around 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Longer reach 191 cm vs 184 cm Around 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Better submission defense 9.3 vs 8.8 Around 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Puts up a fight 9.7 vs 9.5 Almost the same
Cormier on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Evans’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Daniel
Cormier
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Cormier Evans
Significant Strikes63
Cormier's excellent striking offense is matched by Evans's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Excellent
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Cormier's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Evans's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Cormier has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Cormier has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Cormier is unlikely to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Evans on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Cormier’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Rashad
Evans
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Evans Cormier
Significant Strikes64
Evans's good striking offense is matched by Cormier's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Good
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Evans's good takedown offense won't be a factor against Cormier's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Evans has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Evans is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Evans has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Cormier 9.2
fighter Evans 8.9
Great striking by Cormier
84 strikes May 19, 2012 vs Barnett
15 strikes Sep 10, 2011 vs Silva
86 strikes Jun 18, 2011 vs Monson

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Cormier 8.5
fighter Evans 9.1
Great takedowns by Evans
1 takedown Nov 16, 2013 vs Sonnen
3 takedowns May 29, 2010 vs Jackson
8 takedowns Sep 23, 2006 vs Lambert

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Cormier 8.5
fighter Evans 8.6
Great knockouts by Evans
Round 1 Nov 16, 2013 vs Sonnen
Round 3 Dec 27, 2008 vs Griffin
Round 2 Sep 06, 2008 vs Liddell

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Cormier 8.0
fighter Evans 6.8
Great submissions by Cormier
Round 1 Nov 05, 2010 vs Palelei
Round 1 Aug 21, 2010 vs Riley
Round 1 Aug 13, 2010 vs Johnson

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Cormier 8.7
fighter Evans 8.2
Fast finishes by Cormier
542 seconds Jan 12, 2013 vs Staring
236 seconds Sep 10, 2011 vs Silva
62 seconds Aug 21, 2010 vs Riley
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Cormier
legend Evans
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
comments powered by Disqus