UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Cormier vs dos Santos

2,234

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Cormier

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
69% chance Cormier
WILL WIN

2,091

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Daniel Cormier
Much better submission offense 8.0 vs 6.9 More than 15% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Significantly stronger takedown offense 8.5 vs 7.7 Around 10% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Significantly better takedown defense 9.6 vs 9.0 More than 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Fast finishes 8.7 vs 8.6 Almost the same
Advantages for Junior dos Santos
Much heavier hands 9.2 vs 8.5 Around 10% better at knocking out good defenders
A lot taller 193 cm vs 180 cm More than 5% taller
Significantly better striker 9.6 vs 9.2 Around 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Heavier 239 lbs vs 205 lbs More than 15% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Younger 34 years vs 39 years Around 15% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Puts up a fight 9.7 vs 9.5 Almost the same
Cormier on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against dos Santos’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Daniel
Cormier
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Cormier dos Santos
Significant Strikes76
Cormier's excellent striking offense will dominate dos Santos's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Excellent
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Cormier's average takedown offense won't be a factor against dos Santos's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Cormier has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Cormier has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Cormier has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
dos Santos on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Cormier’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Junior
dos Santos
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? dos Santos Cormier
Significant Strikes89
dos Santos's excellent striking offense will dominate Cormier's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Excellent
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
dos Santos's below average takedown offense won't be a factor against Cormier's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Below average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
dos Santos has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
dos Santos is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
dos Santos is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Cormier 9.2
fighter dos Santos 9.6
Great striking by dos Santos
59 strikes May 26, 2012 vs Mir
8 strikes Nov 12, 2011 vs Velasquez
70 strikes Sep 19, 2009 vs Filipovic

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Cormier 8.5
fighter dos Santos 7.7
Great takedowns by Cormier
3 takedowns Oct 19, 2013 vs Nelson
4 takedowns Jan 12, 2013 vs Staring
4 takedowns May 19, 2012 vs Barnett

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Cormier 8.5
fighter dos Santos 9.2
Great knockouts by dos Santos
Round 2 May 26, 2012 vs Mir
Round 1 Nov 12, 2011 vs Velasquez
Round 1 Oct 25, 2008 vs Werdum

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Cormier 8.0
fighter dos Santos 6.9
Great submissions by Cormier
Round 2 Apr 08, 2017 vs Johnson
Round 3 May 24, 2014 vs Henderson
Round 1 Aug 13, 2010 vs Johnson

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Cormier 8.7
fighter dos Santos 8.6
Fast finishes by Cormier
542 seconds Jan 12, 2013 vs Staring
236 seconds Sep 10, 2011 vs Silva
62 seconds Aug 21, 2010 vs Riley
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Cormier
legend dos Santos
Read More
Cormier vs Lesnar
Fantasy Cage Match
dos Santos vs McGregor
Fantasy Cage Match
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
comments powered by Disqus