UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Cormier vs Werdum

2,234

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Cormier

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
56% chance Cormier
WILL WIN

2,192

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Daniel Cormier
Significantly heavier hands 8.5 vs 7.9 Around 10% better at knocking out good defenders
Better striker 9.2 vs 9.1 Almost the same
Slightly younger 38 years vs 40 years 5% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Advantages for Fabricio Werdum
A lot taller 193 cm vs 180 cm More than 5% taller
Significantly better submission offense 8.5 vs 8.0 More than 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Significantly heavier 242 lbs vs 205 lbs Around 20% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Significantly longer reach 196 cm vs 184 cm More than 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Better submission defense 9.4 vs 8.8 More than 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Puts up a fight 10.0 vs 9.5 More than 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Fast finishes 9.0 vs 8.7 Around 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Harder to hit 9.2 vs 9.1 Almost the same
Stronger takedown offense 8.6 vs 8.5 Almost the same
Slightly stronger jaw 9.5 vs 9.3 Almost the same
Cormier on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Werdum’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Daniel
Cormier
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Cormier Werdum
Significant Strikes70
Cormier's excellent striking offense is matched by Werdum's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Excellent
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Cormier's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Werdum's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Cormier has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Cormier has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Cormier has a chance to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Werdum on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Cormier’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Fabricio
Werdum
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Werdum Cormier
Significant Strikes72
Werdum's excellent striking offense will dominate Cormier's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Excellent
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Werdum's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Cormier's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Werdum is unlikely to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Werdum has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Werdum is unlikely to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Cormier 9.2
fighter Werdum 9.1
Great striking by Cormier
84 strikes May 19, 2012 vs Barnett
15 strikes Sep 10, 2011 vs Silva
86 strikes Jun 18, 2011 vs Monson

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Cormier 8.5
fighter Werdum 8.6
Great takedowns by Werdum
1 takedown Jun 08, 2013 vs Nogueira
3 takedowns Nov 07, 2009 vs Silva
1 takedown May 05, 2006 vs Overeem

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Cormier 8.5
fighter Werdum 7.9
Great knockouts by Cormier
Round 2 Jan 12, 2013 vs Staring
Round 1 Sep 10, 2011 vs Silva
Round 1 Jul 31, 2010 vs Browne

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Cormier 8.0
fighter Werdum 8.5
Great submissions by Werdum
Round 2 Jun 08, 2013 vs Nogueira
Round 1 Jun 26, 2010 vs Emelianenko
Round 2 May 05, 2006 vs Overeem

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Cormier 8.7
fighter Werdum 9.0
Fast finishes by Werdum
461 seconds Jun 08, 2013 vs Nogueira
148 seconds Jun 23, 2012 vs Russow
69 seconds Jun 26, 2010 vs Emelianenko
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Cormier
legend Werdum
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
comments powered by Disqus