UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Cormier vs Palelei

2,234

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Cormier

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
85% chance Cormier
WILL WIN

1,928

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Daniel Cormier
Much better submission offense 8.0 vs 6.5 Around 25% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Much better takedown defense 9.6 vs 8.3 More than 15% better at avoiding being taken down
Better striker 9.2 vs 8.5 Around 10% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Significantly harder to hit 9.1 vs 8.7 Around 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Puts up a fight 9.5 vs 9.1 Around 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Stronger jaw 9.3 vs 9.1 Around 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Better submission defense 8.8 vs 8.6 Around 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Advantages for Soa Palelei
Much heavier hands 9.4 vs 8.5 More than 10% better at knocking out good defenders
Much longer reach 206 cm vs 184 cm More than 10% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Significantly heavier 264 lbs vs 205 lbs Around 30% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
A lot taller 193 cm vs 180 cm More than 5% taller
Significantly stronger takedown offense 9.0 vs 8.5 More than 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Fast finishes 8.9 vs 8.7 Almost the same
Cormier on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Palelei’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Daniel
Cormier
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Cormier Palelei
Significant Strikes89
Cormier's excellent striking offense will dominate Palelei's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Excellent
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Cormier's average takedown offense is matched by Palelei's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Cormier has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Cormier has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Cormier is unlikely to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Palelei on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Cormier’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Soa
Palelei
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Palelei Cormier
Significant Strikes52
Palelei's average striking offense won't be a factor against Cormier's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Palelei's good takedown offense won't be a factor against Cormier's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Palelei has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Palelei is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Palelei is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Cormier 9.2
fighter Palelei 8.5
Great striking by Cormier
84 strikes May 19, 2012 vs Barnett
15 strikes Sep 10, 2011 vs Silva
86 strikes Jun 18, 2011 vs Monson

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Cormier 8.5
fighter Palelei 9.0
Great takedowns by Palelei
1 takedown Dec 07, 2013 vs Barry
4 takedowns Aug 31, 2013 vs Krylov

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Cormier 8.5
fighter Palelei 9.4
Great knockouts by Palelei
Round 1 Dec 07, 2013 vs Barry
Round 3 Aug 31, 2013 vs Krylov
Round 1 Dec 07, 2012 vs McCorkle

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Cormier 8.0
fighter Palelei 6.5
Great submissions by Cormier
Round 1 Nov 05, 2010 vs Palelei
Round 1 Aug 21, 2010 vs Riley
Round 1 Aug 13, 2010 vs Johnson

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Cormier 8.7
fighter Palelei 9.0
Fast finishes by Palelei
129 seconds Dec 07, 2013 vs Barry
105 seconds Dec 07, 2012 vs McCorkle
260 seconds Jul 18, 2010 vs Morris
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
November 5, 2010XMMA - Xtreme MMA 3
team
VS
team
R1 SUBX
R2 SUBX
1,7981,766
1,8441,721
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Cormier
legend Palelei
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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