UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Cormier vs Mir

2,234

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Cormier

prediction

BY KO ROUND 3

prediction
84% chance Cormier
WILL WIN

1,948

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Daniel Cormier
Much heavier hands 8.5 vs 7.2 More than 15% better at knocking out good defenders
Much stronger jaw 9.3 vs 8.3 More than 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Significantly better striker 9.2 vs 8.6 More than 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Fast finishes 8.7 vs 8.4 Around 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Harder to hit 9.1 vs 8.8 Around 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Puts up a fight 9.5 vs 9.0 Around 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Stronger takedown offense 8.5 vs 8.1 Around 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Better takedown defense 9.6 vs 9.4 Almost the same
Advantages for Frank Mir
Significantly heavier 261 lbs vs 205 lbs More than 25% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Significantly longer reach 201 cm vs 184 cm Around 10% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Taller 191 cm vs 180 cm More than 5% taller
Better submission defense 9.4 vs 8.8 More than 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Cormier on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Mir’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Daniel
Cormier
In 11:03, how much damage will he do? Cormier Mir
Significant Strikes63
Cormier's excellent striking offense will dominate Mir's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 99 Significant Strikes in 11:03
Excellent
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Cormier's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Mir's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 11:03
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Cormier has a good chance of winning by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Cormier has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Cormier has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Mir on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Cormier’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Frank
Mir
In 11:03, how much damage will he do? Mir Cormier
Significant Strikes42
Mir's good striking offense is matched by Cormier's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 99 Significant Strikes in 11:03
Good
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Mir's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Cormier's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 11:03
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Mir is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Mir has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Mir is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Cormier 9.2
fighter Mir 8.7
Great striking by Cormier
84 strikes May 19, 2012 vs Barnett
15 strikes Sep 10, 2011 vs Silva
86 strikes Jun 18, 2011 vs Monson

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Cormier 8.5
fighter Mir 8.1
Great takedowns by Cormier
3 takedowns Oct 19, 2013 vs Nelson
4 takedowns Jan 12, 2013 vs Staring
4 takedowns May 19, 2012 vs Barnett

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Cormier 8.5
fighter Mir 7.2
Great knockouts by Cormier
Round 2 Jan 12, 2013 vs Staring
Round 1 Sep 10, 2011 vs Silva
Round 1 Jul 31, 2010 vs Browne

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Cormier 8.0
fighter Mir 8.1
Great submissions by Mir
Round 1 Dec 10, 2011 vs Nogueira
Round 1 Dec 12, 2009 vs Kongo
Round 1 Jun 19, 2004 vs Sylvia

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Cormier 8.7
fighter Mir 8.4
Fast finishes by Cormier
542 seconds Jan 12, 2013 vs Staring
236 seconds Sep 10, 2011 vs Silva
62 seconds Aug 21, 2010 vs Riley
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
April 20, 2013UFC on Fox 7
team
VS
team
R3 DECX
R2 KOX
2,1332,006
2,1651,973
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Cormier
legend Mir
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
comments powered by Disqus