UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Cormier vs Barnett

2,234

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Cormier

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
68% chance Cormier
WILL WIN

2,106

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Daniel Cormier
Significantly heavier hands 8.5 vs 7.8 Around 10% better at knocking out good defenders
Better striker 9.2 vs 8.9 Around 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Better takedown defense 9.6 vs 9.2 Around 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Slightly younger 38 years vs 40 years 5% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Advantages for Josh Barnett
Much better submission offense 9.0 vs 8.0 Around 15% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Significantly longer reach 198 cm vs 184 cm Around 10% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Significantly heavier 247 lbs vs 205 lbs More than 20% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
A lot taller 191 cm vs 180 cm More than 5% taller
Fast finishes 9.1 vs 8.7 Around 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Better submission defense 9.3 vs 8.8 More than 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Stronger takedown offense 8.7 vs 8.5 Around 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Stronger jaw 9.5 vs 9.3 Almost the same
Cormier on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Barnett’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Daniel
Cormier
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Cormier Barnett
Significant Strikes77
Cormier's excellent striking offense will dominate Barnett's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Excellent
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Cormier's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Barnett's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Cormier has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Cormier has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Cormier is unlikely to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Barnett on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Cormier’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Josh
Barnett
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Barnett Cormier
Significant Strikes65
Barnett's good striking offense is matched by Cormier's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Good
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Barnett's good takedown offense won't be a factor against Cormier's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Barnett is unlikely to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Barnett has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Barnett is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Cormier 9.2
fighter Barnett 8.9
Great striking by Cormier
84 strikes May 19, 2012 vs Barnett
15 strikes Sep 10, 2011 vs Silva
86 strikes Jun 18, 2011 vs Monson

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Cormier 8.5
fighter Barnett 8.7
Great takedowns by Barnett
1 takedown Sep 10, 2011 vs Kharitonov
2 takedowns Nov 02, 2001 vs Hoffman
1 takedown Jun 29, 2001 vs Schilt

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Cormier 8.5
fighter Barnett 7.8
Great knockouts by Cormier
Round 2 Jan 12, 2013 vs Staring
Round 1 Sep 10, 2011 vs Silva
Round 1 Jul 31, 2010 vs Browne

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Cormier 8.0
fighter Barnett 9.0
Great submissions by Barnett
Round 1 Sep 10, 2011 vs Kharitonov
Round 1 Jun 29, 2001 vs Schilt
Round 4 Feb 08, 2000 vs Severn

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Cormier 8.7
fighter Barnett 9.1
Fast finishes by Barnett
116 seconds Aug 31, 2013 vs Mir
268 seconds Sep 10, 2011 vs Kharitonov
981 seconds Feb 08, 2000 vs Severn
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
team
VS
team
R5 DECX
XR2 SUB
2,0382,199
2,1092,127
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Cormier
legend Barnett
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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