UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Cormier vs Mousasi

2,234

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Cormier

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
61% chance Cormier
WILL WIN

2,154

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Daniel Cormier
Much better takedown defense 9.6 vs 8.6 More than 10% better at avoiding being taken down
Significantly heavier hands 8.5 vs 7.8 Around 10% better at knocking out good defenders
Better striker 9.2 vs 9.0 Almost the same
Heavier 205 lbs vs 186 lbs More than 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Advantages for Gegard Mousasi
Much harder to hit 9.9 vs 9.1 Around 10% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Significantly longer reach 196 cm vs 184 cm More than 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Better submission offense 8.4 vs 8.0 Around 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Stronger jaw 9.8 vs 9.3 More than 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Younger 31 years vs 38 years Around 20% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Better submission defense 9.3 vs 8.8 Around 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Puts up a fight 9.9 vs 9.5 Around 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Taller 185 cm vs 180 cm Around 5% taller
Longer winning streak 4 fights vs 3 fights Around 35% longer winning streak; has momentum coming into a fight
Stronger takedown offense 8.6 vs 8.5 Almost the same
Fast finishes 8.8 vs 8.7 Almost the same
Cormier on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Mousasi’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Daniel
Cormier
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Cormier Mousasi
Significant Strikes47
Cormier's excellent striking offense is matched by Mousasi's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Excellent
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Cormier's average takedown offense is matched by Mousasi's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Cormier has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Cormier has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Cormier is unlikely to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Mousasi on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Cormier’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Gegard
Mousasi
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Mousasi Cormier
Significant Strikes69
Mousasi's excellent striking offense will dominate Cormier's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Excellent
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Mousasi's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Cormier's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Mousasi is unlikely to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Mousasi has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Mousasi is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Cormier 9.2
fighter Mousasi 9.0
Great striking by Cormier
84 strikes May 19, 2012 vs Barnett
15 strikes Sep 10, 2011 vs Silva
86 strikes Jun 18, 2011 vs Monson

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Cormier 8.5
fighter Mousasi 8.6
Great takedowns by Mousasi
4 takedowns Dec 17, 2011 vs St. Preux
1 takedown Aug 15, 2009 vs Sobral
1 takedown Sep 23, 2008 vs Manhoef

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Cormier 8.5
fighter Mousasi 7.8
Great knockouts by Cormier
Round 2 Jan 12, 2013 vs Staring
Round 1 Sep 10, 2011 vs Silva
Round 1 Jul 31, 2010 vs Browne

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Cormier 8.0
fighter Mousasi 8.4
Great submissions by Mousasi
Round 1 Jan 12, 2013 vs Kyle
Round 1 Sep 23, 2008 vs Manhoef
Round 1 Apr 29, 2008 vs Kang

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Cormier 8.7
fighter Mousasi 8.8
Fast finishes by Mousasi
60 seconds Aug 15, 2009 vs Sobral
88 seconds Sep 23, 2008 vs Manhoef
190 seconds Apr 29, 2008 vs Kang
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Cormier
legend Mousasi
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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